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Niteroiense v Audax Rio
Niteroiense
Audax RioCarioca - 2 · WED 21 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Niteroiense win at 52%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Niteroiense was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Niteroiense v Audax Rio
- 18′Niteroiense find the net on 18′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Niteroiense 1–0 Audax Rio
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Niteroiense win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
- 19′We published Niteroiense at 52%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–5
- 33′We published Niteroiense at 52%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
- 45′HALF-TIME Niteroiense 1–0 Audax Rio
- 46′SECOND HALF Niteroiense 1–0 Audax Rio
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' Niteroiense win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
- 62′We published Niteroiense at 52%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 74′A goal for Niteroiense on 74′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Niteroiense 2–0 Audax Rio
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Niteroiense win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
- 75′We published Niteroiense at 52%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 79′We published Niteroiense at 52%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 91′Audax Rio score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- 91′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Niteroiense 2–1 Audax Rio
- FTFULL TIME Niteroiense 2–1 Audax Rio
- FTNiteroiense 2–1 Audax Rio · Niteroiense win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Niteroiense are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Niteroiense 52%, draw 25%, Audax Rio 22%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Niteroiense win52%
Audax Rio win22%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 8
Match timeline
All events
NiteroienseMIN
Audax RioEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Niteroiense
Audax Rio
Last match: 17 Oct · Carioca - 2
Last match: 17 Oct · Carioca - 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Niteroiense a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 56%, 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niteroiense win | 52% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Audax Rio win | 22% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 41% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | – | – |
| Niteroiense or draw | 78% | – | – |
| Niteroiense clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Audax Rio clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 12 Sept
NITEROIENSE
AUDAX RIO
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 7 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Petrópolis | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Goytacaz | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Artsul | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Campo Grande | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 9 | Nova Cidade | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 10 | São Cristóvão RJ | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 7 | −6 | 4 |
| 12 | Carapebus | 7 | −11 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Duque de Caxias
Serrano RJ
Petrópolis
Goytacaz
Artsul
Campo Grande
Macaé
Nova Cidade
São Cristóvão RJ
Carapebus