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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Carioca - 2 › Niteroiense v Artsul

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Niteroiense v Artsul

Niteroiense
18:00Upcoming
Artsul

Carioca - 2 · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

NiteroienseDrawArtsul
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Niteroiense 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Niteroiense are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Niteroiense 43%, draw 26%, Artsul 31%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Niteroiense v ArtsulBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Niteroiense win43%
Draw26%
Artsul win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Niteroiense

Artsul

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Carioca - 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Carioca - 2

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Niteroiense9+519
6Artsul9+213

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · niteroiense winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Niteroiense a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Niteroiense v Artsul1.33 – 1.09
Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 26 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 19 v 131 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Niteroiense win43%––
Draw26%––
Artsul win31%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Niteroiense or draw69%––
Niteroiense clean sheet34%––
Artsul clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.5%
0123450 8.9 10.5 5.3 2.0 1 12.5 11.9 6.7 2.5 2 7.8 8.1 4.4 3 3.5 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Niteroiense down, Artsul across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsART 2–2 NIT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 26 Sept

NITEROIENSE

WWWLWL2–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–2

ARTSUL

DLDDLW0–0 · 3–4 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Niteroiense9+519
2Duque de Caxias8+918
3Serrano RJ9+518
4Goytacaz9+518
5Petrópolis9+415
6Artsul9+213
7Campo Grande9−312
8Macaé8010
9São Cristóvão RJ9−37
10Nova Cidade9−46
11Audax Rio9−75
12Carapebus9−132

The competition's standings before kick-off.