Home › Football › Carioca - 2 › Audax Rio v Goytacaz
Back

Audax Rio v Goytacaz
Audax Rio
GoytacazCarioca - 2 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Goytacaz win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Goytacaz was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 28–29–43
- 1′KICK-OFF Audax Rio v Goytacaz
- 25′A goal for Goytacaz on 25′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–19–74
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Audax Rio 0–1 Goytacaz
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Goytacaz win: 43% at kick-off, 74% now
- 26′We published Goytacaz at 43%. Our model now makes it 74%. 0–1 · 7–19–74
- 28′We published Goytacaz at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 7–19–75
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 6–19–75
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Goytacaz
- 45′HALF-TIME Audax Rio 0–1 Goytacaz
- 46′SECOND HALF Audax Rio 0–1 Goytacaz
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Audax Rio
- 53′We published Goytacaz at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Audax Rio
- 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Audax Rio
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Goytacaz
- 59′Audax Rio score on 58′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 18–56–26
- 59′We said Goytacaz at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 18–56–26
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Audax Rio 1–1 Goytacaz
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Goytacaz win: 43% at kick-off, 26% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Goytacaz win 81%)
- 62′We said Goytacaz at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 17–59–24
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Goytacaz win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 70′We said Goytacaz at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 14–67–19
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Goytacaz
- 77′We said Goytacaz at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 10–76–14
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Goytacaz win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
- 82′We said Goytacaz at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
- 90′We said Goytacaz at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–94–4
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Goytacaz win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Audax Rio
- FTFULL TIME Audax Rio 1–1 Goytacaz
- FTAudax Rio 1–1 Goytacaz · Goytacaz win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Goytacaz are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Audax Rio 28%, draw 29%, Goytacaz 43%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Audax Rio win28%
Goytacaz win43%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Audax RioMIN
GoytacazEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Audax Rio
Goytacaz
Last match: 21 Oct · Carioca - 2
Last match: 21 Oct · Carioca - 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Goytacaz a 43% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Audax Rio win | 28% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Goytacaz win | 43% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 38% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | – | – |
| Audax Rio or draw | 57% | – | – |
| Audax Rio clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Goytacaz clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 19 Sept
AUDAX RIO
GOYTACAZ
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 8 | +7 | 19 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 | Serrano RJ | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Petrópolis | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Artsul | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Macaé | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Campo Grande | 8 | −5 | 9 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 8 | −3 | 6 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 8 | −7 | 4 |
| 12 | Carapebus | 8 | −13 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Niteroiense
Duque de Caxias
Serrano RJ
Petrópolis
Artsul
Macaé
Campo Grande
São Cristóvão RJ
Nova Cidade
Carapebus