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Home › Football › Carioca - 2 › Artsul v São Cristóvão RJ

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Artsul v São Cristóvão RJ

Artsul
1–0Full time
São Cristóvão RJ

Carioca - 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:41
Artsul 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ ARTSUL WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Artsul win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.523

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Artsul win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Artsul 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–30–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Artsul v São Cristóvão RJ
  4. 25′Artsul find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–19–7
  5. 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Artsul 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ
  6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Artsul win: 41% at kick-off, 74% now
  7. 26′We said Artsul at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 74–19–6
  9. 31′We said Artsul at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Artsul 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Artsul 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ
  12. 53′We said Artsul at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  13. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Artsul win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
  14. 65′Artsul are down to ten from 65′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 84–14–2
  15. 65′🟥 RED CARD · 65' Artsul
  16. 68′We said Artsul at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  17. 77′We said Artsul at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  18. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Artsul win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  19. 84′We said Artsul at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  20. FTFULL TIME Artsul 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ
  21. FTArtsul 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ · Artsul win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Artsul are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Artsul 41%, draw 30%, São Cristóvão RJ 29%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Artsul v São Cristóvão RJBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Artsul win41%
Draw30%
São Cristóvão RJ win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Artsul

São Cristóvão RJ

3Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · Carioca - 2

Last match: 21 Oct · Carioca - 2

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Artsul8+110
9São Cristóvão RJ8−27

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · artsul winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Artsul a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Artsul v São Cristóvão RJ1.08 – 0.85
Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 19 SeptW0 D4 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 10 v 76 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 18:18
Our probability · Artsul win

Published at 42%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Artsul win41%––
Draw30%––
São Cristóvão RJ win29%––
Over 2.5 goals30%––
Both teams to score36%––
Over 1.5 goals56%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Artsul or draw71%––
Artsul clean sheet44%––
São Cristóvão RJ clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.3%
0123450 14.5 13.1 5.3 1 16.3 12.1 5.4 2 8.4 6.8 2.9 3 3.1 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Artsul down, São Cristóvão RJ across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsART 1–1 SAO · ART 2–1 SAO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 19 Sept

ARTSUL

DDLDDL0–0 · 0–0 · 3–4 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

SÃO CRISTÓVÃO RJ

LWLDLD0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Niteroiense8+719
2Duque de Caxias8+918
3Goytacaz8+517
4Serrano RJ8+415
5Petrópolis8+414
6Artsul8+110
7Macaé8010
8Campo Grande8−59
9São Cristóvão RJ8−27
10Nova Cidade8−36
11Audax Rio8−74
12Carapebus8−131

The competition's standings before kick-off.