Fluminense U17 v Cruzeiro U17 prediction · Brasileiro U17

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 21:37

Fluminense U17 2–2 Cruzeiro U17 FLUMINENSE U17 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fluminense U17 win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.932

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

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2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

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3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

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The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off

Fluminense U17 win54%

Draw23%

Cruzeiro U17 win23%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Fluminense U17

Cruzeiro U17

6Days since last match6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Cruzeiro U17	20	+11	40
5	Fluminense U17	20	+17	37

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fluminense u17 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Fluminense U17 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fluminense U17 win	54%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Cruzeiro U17 win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Fluminense U17 or draw	77%	–	–
Fluminense U17 clean sheet	36%	–	–
Cruzeiro U17 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.2%

0123450 6.4 6.9 3.4 1 11.2 10.8 5.7 2.0 2 9.3 9.4 4.9 3 5.4 5.5 2.8 4 2.4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fluminense U17 down, Cruzeiro U17 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 488 Brasileiro U17 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Brasileiro U17 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.7% of games this season, across 193 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fluminense U17 at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Cruzeiro U17 away: 1.67 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Fluminense U17, 1.04 for Cruzeiro U17. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CRU 2–0 FLU · FLU 1–2 CRU · CRU 1–0 FLU · CRU 2–2 FLU

Form · last six in Brasileiro U17

FLUMINENSE U17

LWWDLL1–2 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–2

CRUZEIRO U17

WLWWWW2–1 · 1–8 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	20	+27	44
2	Cruzeiro U17	20	+11	40
3	Corinthians U17	20	+37	39
4	RB Bragantino U17	20	+28	39
5	Fluminense U17	20	+17	37
6	Flamengo RJ U17	20	+16	36
7	Fortaleza U17	20	−3	36
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	20	+20	35
9	Sao Paulo U17	19	+8	30
10	Santos U17	19	+2	30
11	Athletico PR U17	19	+4	29
12	Botafogo U17	19	−6	25
13	Vasco U17	19	+2	23
14	Internacional U17	19	−11	23
15	America MG U17	19	+3	19
16	Bahia U17	18	−6	18
17	Juventude U17	19	−31	16
18	Vitoria U17	19	−27	10
19	Gremio U17	19	−37	10
20	Atletico GO U17	18	−54	3