Cruzeiro U17 v Atlético Mineiro U17 prediction · Brasileiro U17

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Cruzeiro U17DrawAtlético Mineiro U17

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Cruzeiro U17 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cruzeiro U17 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cruzeiro U17 49%, draw 23%, Atlético Mineiro U17 29%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Cruzeiro U17 v Atlético Mineiro U17Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Cruzeiro U17 win49%

Draw23%

Atlético Mineiro U17 win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cruzeiro U17

Atlético Mineiro U17

3Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · Brasileiro U17

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Cruzeiro U17	19	+9	37
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	+17	32

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cruzeiro u17 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Cruzeiro U17 a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cruzeiro U17 v Atlético Mineiro U17~~1.82 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in Brasileiro U17 this season · since 15 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 37 v 32~~5 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Cruzeiro U17 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cruzeiro U17 win	49%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Atlético Mineiro U17 win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Cruzeiro U17 or draw	71%	–	–
Cruzeiro U17 clean sheet	27%	–	–
Atlético Mineiro U17 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 4.5 6.0 3.9 1 8.0 10.1 6.8 3.1 2 7.0 9.1 6.0 2.7 3 4.3 5.5 3.7 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cruzeiro U17 down, Atlético Mineiro U17 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 494 Brasileiro U17 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Brasileiro U17 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.8% of games this season, across 199 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cruzeiro U17 at home: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Atlético Mineiro U17 away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for Cruzeiro U17, 1.33 for Atlético Mineiro U17. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ATL 0–0 CRU · ATL 1–3 CRU · ATL 1–0 CRU · ATL 2–3 CRU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Brasileiro U17 this season · since 15 Sept

CRUZEIRO U17

WWWWDD3–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–0

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO U17

LWWWLD1–2 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	19	+30	44
2	Corinthians U17	19	+38	39
3	RB Bragantino U17	19	+29	39
4	Fluminense U17	19	+19	37
5	Cruzeiro U17	19	+9	37
6	Flamengo RJ U17	19	+15	33
7	Fortaleza U17	19	−4	33
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	+17	32
9	Sao Paulo U17	19	+8	30
10	Santos U17	19	+2	30
11	Athletico PR U17	19	+4	29
12	Botafogo U17	19	−6	25
13	Vasco U17	19	+2	23
14	Internacional U17	19	−11	23
15	Bahia U17	19	−3	21
16	America MG U17	19	+3	19
17	Juventude U17	19	−31	16
18	Vitoria U17	19	−27	10
19	Gremio U17	19	−37	10
20	Atletico GO U17	19	−57	3