Corinthians U17 v RB Bragantino U17 prediction · Brasileiro U17

After 90 minutesGraded 25 Oct 04:35

Corinthians U17 1–1 RB Bragantino U17 CORINTHIANS U17 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Corinthians U17 win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.062

Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 1–1, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Corinthians U17 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Corinthians U17 60%, draw 19%, RB Bragantino U17 22%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Corinthians U17 v RB Bragantino U17Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Corinthians U17 win60%

Draw19%

RB Bragantino U17 win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 20:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Corinthians U17

RB Bragantino U17

3Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · Brasileiro U17

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Corinthians U17	19	+38	39
3	RB Bragantino U17	19	+29	39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · corinthians u17 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Corinthians U17 a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Corinthians U17 v RB Bragantino U17~~2.40 – 1.39

~~Form · last six in Brasileiro U17 this season · since 15 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 39 v 39~~2 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Corinthians U17 win

Published at 59%, 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Corinthians U17 win	60%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
RB Bragantino U17 win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Corinthians U17 or draw	78%	–	–
Corinthians U17 clean sheet	25%	–	–
RB Bragantino U17 clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.4 3.4 2.3 1 5.7 7.5 5.2 2.4 2 6.5 8.8 6.0 2.8 3 5.2 6.9 4.8 2.2 4 3.1 4.2 2.9 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Corinthians U17 down, RB Bragantino U17 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 494 Brasileiro U17 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Brasileiro U17 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.8% of games this season, across 199 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Corinthians U17 at home: 3.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). RB Bragantino U17 away: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.40 goals for Corinthians U17, 1.39 for RB Bragantino U17. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~RBB 1–1 COR · COR 2–3 RBB · RBB 0–0 COR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Brasileiro U17 this season · since 15 Sept

CORINTHIANS U17

WWWLWD2–1 · 6–1 · 8–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1

RB BRAGANTINO U17

DWWLWD3–3 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	19	+30	44
2	Corinthians U17	19	+38	39
3	RB Bragantino U17	19	+29	39
4	Fluminense U17	19	+19	37
5	Cruzeiro U17	19	+9	37
6	Flamengo RJ U17	19	+15	33
7	Fortaleza U17	19	−4	33
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	+17	32
9	Sao Paulo U17	19	+8	30
10	Santos U17	19	+2	30
11	Athletico PR U17	19	+4	29
12	Botafogo U17	19	−6	25
13	Vasco U17	19	+2	23
14	Internacional U17	19	−11	23
15	Bahia U17	19	−3	21
16	America MG U17	19	+3	19
17	Juventude U17	19	−31	16
18	Vitoria U17	19	−27	10
19	Gremio U17	19	−37	10
20	Atletico GO U17	19	−57	3