Atlético Mineiro U17 v Cruzeiro U17 prediction · Brasileiro U17

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 21:30

Atlético Mineiro U17 0–0 Cruzeiro U17 ATLÉTICO MINEIRO U17 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Atlético Mineiro U17 win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.042

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atlético Mineiro U17 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlético Mineiro U17 59%, draw 20%, Cruzeiro U17 21%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Atlético Mineiro U17 v Cruzeiro U17Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 12:26 · locked at kick-off

Atlético Mineiro U17 win59%

Draw20%

Cruzeiro U17 win21%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlético Mineiro U17

Cruzeiro U17

8Days since last match8

Last match: 13 Oct · Brasileiro U17

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Cruzeiro U17	19	+9	37
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	+17	32

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atlético mineiro u17 winFirst published 15 Oct 12:26 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Atlético Mineiro U17 a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atlético Mineiro U17 v Cruzeiro U17~~2.21 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Brasileiro U17 this season · since 9 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 32 v 37~~8 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atlético Mineiro U17 win	59%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Cruzeiro U17 win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Atlético Mineiro U17 or draw	79%	–	–
Atlético Mineiro U17 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Cruzeiro U17 clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.2 4.3 2.5 1 7.4 8.4 5.3 2.3 2 7.7 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 5.6 6.8 4.2 4 3.2 3.8 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atlético Mineiro U17 down, Cruzeiro U17 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 492 Brasileiro U17 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Brasileiro U17 matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.4% of games this season, across 197 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atlético Mineiro U17 at home: 4.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Cruzeiro U17 away: 1.67 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Atlético Mineiro U17, 1.25 for Cruzeiro U17. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ATL 1–3 CRU · ATL 1–0 CRU · ATL 2–3 CRU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Brasileiro U17 this season · since 9 Sept

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO U17

WLWWWL3–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 1–3

CRUZEIRO U17

LWWWWD1–8 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	19	+30	44
2	Corinthians U17	19	+38	39
3	RB Bragantino U17	19	+29	39
4	Fluminense U17	19	+19	37
5	Cruzeiro U17	19	+9	37
6	Flamengo RJ U17	19	+15	33
7	Fortaleza U17	19	−4	33
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	+17	32
9	Sao Paulo U17	19	+8	30
10	Santos U17	19	+2	30
11	Athletico PR U17	19	+4	29
12	Botafogo U17	19	−6	25
13	Vasco U17	19	+2	23
14	Internacional U17	19	−11	23
15	Bahia U17	19	−3	21
16	America MG U17	19	+3	19
17	Juventude U17	19	−31	16
18	Vitoria U17	19	−27	10
19	Gremio U17	19	−37	10
20	Atletico GO U17	19	−57	3