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Tonota v Police XI
TonotaPolice XIPremier League · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTonota are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tonota 45%, draw 32%, Police XI 23%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 34%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Tonota win45%Police XI win23%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 6
Match timeline
All events
TonotaMINPolice XIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tonota
Police XI
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Botswana)
Last match: 14 Oct · Premier League (Botswana)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Police XI | 5 | +2 | 8 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tonota a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonota win | 45% | – | – |
| Draw | 32% | – | – |
| Police XI win | 23% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 34% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | – | – |
| Tonota or draw | 77% | – | – |
| Tonota clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
| Police XI clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 29 Aug
TONOTA
POLICE XI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 2 |  Gaborone United | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |  TAFIC | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 | Police XI | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Sua Flamingoes | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Extension Gunners | 5 | −1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Centre Chiefs | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Galaxy | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Orapa United | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Nico United | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Township Rollers | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Enesia | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 13 |  BDF XI | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Prisons XI | 5 | −4 | 3 |
| 15 |  Morupule Wanderers | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Matebele | 5 | −5 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.