Morupule Wanderers v Extension Gunners prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Morupule WanderersDrawExtension Gunners

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Morupule Wanderers 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Morupule Wanderers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Morupule Wanderers 53%, draw 26%, Extension Gunners 21%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Morupule Wanderers v Extension GunnersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Morupule Wanderers win53%

Draw26%

Extension Gunners win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Morupule Wanderers

Extension Gunners

14Days since last match10

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Botswana)

Last match: 21 Oct · Premier League (Botswana)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Extension Gunners	6	−1	9
16	Morupule Wanderers	5	−4	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · morupule wanderers winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Morupule Wanderers a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Morupule Wanderers v Extension Gunners~~1.59 – 0.89

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 29 Aug~~W0 D3 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 9~~16 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Morupule Wanderers win	53%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Extension Gunners win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Morupule Wanderers or draw	79%	–	–
Morupule Wanderers clean sheet	41%	–	–
Extension Gunners clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%

0123450 8.9 7.2 3.4 1 13.0 12.0 5.2 2 10.5 9.2 4.1 3 5.6 4.9 2.2 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Morupule Wanderers down, Extension Gunners across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,231 Premier League matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 29.5% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Morupule Wanderers at home: 1.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Extension Gunners away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Morupule Wanderers, 0.89 for Extension Gunners. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MOR 1–2 EXT · EXT 0–4 MOR · EXT 1–0 MOR · MOR 2–1 EXT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 29 Aug

MORUPULE WANDERERS

LDDLD0–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–0

EXTENSION GUNNERS

WWLDDD1–0 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gaborone United	5	+8	15
2	Tonota	6	+6	14
3	Sua Flamingoes	6	+2	11
4	Centre Chiefs	6	+1	10
5	Orapa United	7	+1	9
6	Extension Gunners	6	−1	9
7	TAFIC	5	+2	8
8	Police XI	6	0	8
9	Galaxy	4	+1	7
10	Nico United	6	−2	6
11	Township Rollers	5	0	5
12	Enesia	6	−3	5
13	Matebele	6	−3	4
14	BDF XI	5	−4	4
15	Prisons XI	6	−4	4
16	Morupule Wanderers	5	−4	3