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Gaborone United v Police XI
Gaborone UnitedPolice XIPremier League · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
Gaborone United win69%Police XI win9%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00
Match timeline
All events
Gaborone UnitedMINPolice XIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Gaborone United
Police XI
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Police XI | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Gaborone United | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gaborone United a 69% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaborone United win | 69% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| Police XI win | 9% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 31% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | – | – |
| Gaborone United or draw | 91% | – | – |
| Gaborone United clean sheet | 62% | – | – |
| Police XI clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Premier League
GABORONE UNITED
POLICE XI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tonota | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Police XI | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Sua Flamingoes | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 |  TAFIC | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 |  Centre Chiefs | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Extension Gunners | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Gaborone United | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Orapa United | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Nico United | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |  Township Rollers | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 |  Enesia | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  BDF XI | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Galaxy | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Prisons XI | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 |  Morupule Wanderers | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Matebele | 5 | -5 | 1 |
The competition's standings.