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Model 1.1

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Enesia v Galaxy

Enesia
3–4Full time
Galaxy

Premier League · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 03:35
Enesia 3–4 Galaxy GALAXY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Galaxy win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.297

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Enesia v GalaxyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off

Enesia win20%
Draw25%
Galaxy win56%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Enesia

Galaxy

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Enesia4-15
13Galaxy123

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · galaxy winFirst published 13 Oct 13:01 · updated 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Galaxy a 56% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.7, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Enesia v Galaxy0.84 – 1.66
Last six in Premier LeagueW1 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 5 v 311 v 13

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Enesia win20%––
Draw25%––
Galaxy win56%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Enesia or draw44%––
Enesia clean sheet21%––
Galaxy clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.3%
0123450 9.0 13.3 10.8 6.1 2.8 1 7.1 11.3 8.7 4.8 2.1 2 3.2 4.8 3.7 2.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Enesia down, Galaxy across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Premier League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Premier League

ENESIA

DWDL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–3

GALAXY

WDDLWW3–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tonota5411
2Police XI438
3Sua Flamingoes518
4TAFIC427
5Centre Chiefs507
6Extension Gunners4-17
7Gaborone United236
8Orapa United516
9Nico United506
10Township Rollers425
11Enesia4-15
12BDF XI4-34
13Galaxy123
14Prisons XI5-43
15Morupule Wanderers4-42
16Matebele5-51

The competition's standings.