Enesia v Centre Chiefs prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 09:03

Enesia 1–2 Centre Chiefs CENTRE CHIEFS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Centre Chiefs win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.414

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Centre Chiefs are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Enesia 25%, draw 27%, Centre Chiefs 47%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Enesia v Centre ChiefsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Enesia win25%

Draw27%

Centre Chiefs win47%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Enesia

Centre Chiefs

3Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · Premier League (Botswana)

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Botswana)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Centre Chiefs	5	0	7
12	Enesia	5	−2	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · centre chiefs winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 16 Oct 03:46 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Centre Chiefs a 47% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Enesia v Centre Chiefs~~0.91 – 1.40

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 7~~12 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Centre Chiefs win

Published at 42%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Enesia win	25%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Centre Chiefs win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Enesia or draw	53%	–	–
Enesia clean sheet	26%	–	–
Centre Chiefs clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.6%

0123450 10.7 13.6 9.5 4.6 1 9.1 12.4 8.2 3.9 2 4.4 5.6 3.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Enesia down, Centre Chiefs across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,222 Premier League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.4% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Enesia at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 2). Centre Chiefs away: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.91 goals for Enesia, 1.40 for Centre Chiefs. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 29 Aug

ENESIA

DWDLL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 3–4

CENTRE CHIEFS

LWDLW0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tonota	5	+4	11
2	Gaborone United	3	+4	9
3	TAFIC	5	+2	8
4	Police XI	5	+2	8
5	Sua Flamingoes	5	+1	8
6	Extension Gunners	5	−1	8
7	Centre Chiefs	5	0	7
8	Galaxy	2	+3	6
9	Orapa United	5	+1	6
10	Nico United	5	0	6
11	Township Rollers	4	+2	5
12	Enesia	5	−2	5
13	BDF XI	4	−3	4
14	Prisons XI	5	−4	3
15	Morupule Wanderers	4	−4	2
16	Matebele	5	−5	1