Sloga Doboj v Zrinjski prediction · Premijer Liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Sloga Doboj 2–6 Zrinjski ZRINJSKI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Zrinjski win~~57%

~~The market said~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.279

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.279

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 37 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Zrinjski win at 57%.
0′KICK-OFF Sloga Doboj v Zrinjski
3′Much as we predicted: Zrinjski was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 17–27–56
6′Much as we predicted: Zrinjski was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 17–28–55
17′SUBSTITUTION · 9' Zrinjski · On: M. Cuic · Off: H. Barisic
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Sloga Doboj 0–1 Zrinjski
37′A. Ilic scores for Zrinjski on 27′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–13–84
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 51% now
39′A. Ilic scores for Zrinjski on 27′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–13–84
39′⚽ GOAL · 40' Sloga Doboj 0–1 Zrinjski
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Sloga Doboj 0–2 Zrinjski · A. Ilic
45′HALF-TIME Sloga Doboj 0–2 Zrinjski
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
45′SECOND HALF Sloga Doboj 0–2 Zrinjski
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
51′⚽ GOAL · 53' Sloga Doboj 0–2 Zrinjski
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Sloga Doboj 0–3 Zrinjski · N. Bilbija
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Zrinjski win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Sloga Doboj 1–3 Zrinjski · N. Bilbija
60′⚽ GOAL · 61' Sloga Doboj 1–3 Zrinjski
62′⚽ GOAL · 63' Sloga Doboj 1–3 Zrinjski
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Sloga Doboj 2–3 Zrinjski · J. Cueto
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Sloga Doboj 2–3 Zrinjski · J. Cueto
67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Zrinjski · On: I. Vidovic · Off: M. Vranjkovic
68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Sloga Doboj · On: J. Bolivar · Off: Chuca
70′⚽ GOAL · 71' Sloga Doboj 2–3 Zrinjski
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Sloga Doboj 2–4 Zrinjski · A. Ilic
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sloga Doboj · On: N. Pejovic · Off: D. Savic
77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sloga Doboj · On: O. Seslak · Off: J. Celikovic
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Sloga Doboj 2–5 Zrinjski · A. Ilic
81′⚽ GOAL · 82' Sloga Doboj 2–5 Zrinjski
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zrinjski · On: M. Cavar · Off: A. Ilic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sloga Doboj · On: M. Savic · Off: F. Ferreiroa
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sloga Doboj · On: J. Djalovic · Off: J. Cueto
87′⚽ GOAL · 89' Sloga Doboj 2–5 Zrinjski · M. Cuze
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Sloga Doboj 2–6 Zrinjski · M. Cuze
FTFULL TIME Sloga Doboj 2–6 Zrinjski
FTSloga Doboj 2–6 Zrinjski · Zrinjski win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sloga Doboj win17%

Draw25%

Zrinjski win57%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

VenueStadion Luke

RefereeN. Ljajic

Line-ups

Sloga Doboj

Zrinjski

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sloga Doboj

Zrinjski

21Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Zrinjski	8	+12	21
6	Sloga Doboj	8	−3	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Sloga Doboj

Formation not confirmed

1 P. Garcia

2 J. Celikovic

3 R. Corral

8 F. Ferreiroa

9 J. Cueto

11 Ferni

13 D. Savic

22 Chuca

23 Dani Molina

28 M. Milanovic

92 T. Jovic

Coach · Nedim Jusufbegovic

Substitutes

25 · B. Pavlovic

4 · N. Bozickovic

7 · J. Bolivar

19 · S. Damjanic

26 · D. Koprivica

29 · N. Pejovic

33 · J. Kvesic

44 · M. Savic

55 · O. Seslak

99 · J. Djalovic

Zrinjski

Formation not confirmed

18 G. Karacic

19 M. Vranjkovic

4 H. Barisic

15 K. Stapic

12 P. Mamic

20 A. Ivancic

6 I. Savic

25 M. Cuze

77 K. Abramovic

17 A. Ilic

99 N. Bilbija

Coach · Simon Rozman

Substitutes

31 · Z. Subaric

44 · A. Djakovic

40 · B. Curdo

10 · M. Cuic

24 · T. Palic

80 · H. Ljukovac

42 · M. Cavar

8 · I. Vidovic

11 · T. Juric

Our number · zrinjski winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

57% The market57%

Us57%

~~Market~~57%

We make Zrinjski a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 0.7–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · zrinjski win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 54% to 57% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sloga Doboj win	17%	17%	+1
Draw	25%	26%	−1
Zrinjski win	57%	57%	0
Over 2.5 goals	36%	43%	−7
Both teams to score	36%	44%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	62%	67%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	17%	24%	−7
Sloga Doboj or draw	43%	43%	0
Sloga Doboj clean sheet	23%	–	–
Zrinjski clean sheet	52%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 17.9%

0123450 11.5 17.9 12.7 6.3 2.4 1 8.4 10.8 8.3 4.1 2 2.6 3.8 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sloga Doboj down, Zrinjski across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,014 Premijer Liga matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premijer Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

13 previous meetings, 2.38 goals a meeting; 6 of 13 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sloga Doboj at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Zrinjski away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.66 goals for Sloga Doboj, 1.47 for Zrinjski. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

13 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.38

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 13

~~Both scored~~3 of 13

~~Last meetings~~SLO 0–3 ZRI · ZRI 1–0 SLO · SLO 0–1 ZRI · ZRI 3–0 SLO

Form · last six in Premijer Liga

SLOGA DOBOJ

WDWDLL1–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–2

ZRINJSKI

WWWWLW2–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borac Banja Luka	9	+10	22
2	Zrinjski	8	+12	21
3	FK Sarajevo	8	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	9	−1	10
6	Sloga Doboj	8	−3	9
7	Čelik	8	−1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	9	−4	8
9	Velež	9	−8	8
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	−7	4