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Siroki Brijeg v Čelik
Siroki Brijeg
ČelikPremijer Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion Pecara
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Siroki Brijeg win at 52%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Siroki Brijeg was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Siroki Brijeg v Čelik
- 10′SUBSTITUTION · 7' Siroki Brijeg · On: M. Hrkac · Off: M. Barac
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Siroki Brijeg win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Čelik
- 43′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–39–21
- 45′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Siroki Brijeg 0–0 Čelik
- 45′SECOND HALF Siroki Brijeg 0–0 Čelik
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Siroki Brijeg win 40%)
- 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 39–40–21
- 56′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Čelik · On: B. Jenjic · Off: O. Sarkic
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Siroki Brijeg win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Siroki Brijeg · On: L. Guedes · Off: M. Matic
- 64′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Siroki Brijeg · On: F. Jelcic · Off: I. Jelic
- 71′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–14
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Čelik · On: D. Vidic · Off: H. Vardo
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Siroki Brijeg win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
- 76′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–11
- 80′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Siroki Brijeg win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Čelik · On: D. Sijamija · Off: A. Hrvanovic
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Čelik · On: E. Sivac · Off: H. Sabanovic
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Siroki Brijeg · On: M. Soldo · Off: D. Virgili
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Siroki Brijeg · On: I. Kraljevic · Off: K. Sesar
- 91′We said Siroki Brijeg at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Siroki Brijeg win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Siroki Brijeg 0–0 Čelik
- FTSiroki Brijeg 0–0 Čelik · Siroki Brijeg win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Siroki Brijeg are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Siroki Brijeg 52%, draw 24%, Čelik 24%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Siroki Brijeg win52%
Čelik win24%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueStadion Pecara
RefereeD. Todic
Match timeline
All events
Siroki BrijegMIN
ČelikEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Siroki Brijeg
4-2-3-1
Čelik
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Siroki Brijeg
Čelik
Last match: 16 Oct · Premijer Liga
Last match: 18 Oct · Premijer Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Siroki Brijeg
4-2-3-1
51 Ivan Puljić
26 Marijan Oršolić
5 Bartul Markovina
47 Ivan Krstanovic
2 Mateo Barać
77 Robert Marijanović
90 Tomislav Tomić
11 David Virgili Fernandez
18 Marko Matić
44 Kristian Sesar
33 Ivan Jelić
Coach · –
Čelik
4-3-3
1 Arman Šutković
24 Halid Šabanović
17 Albin Omić
4 Kenan Horić
15 Marin Popović
5 Harun Vardo
18 Oliver Šarkić
8 Andres Mohedano
14 Aldin Hrvanović
99 Anes Mašić
11 Samy Faraj
Coach · –
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Siroki Brijeg
4-2-3-1
51 Ivan Puljić
26 Marijan Oršolić
5 Bartul Markovina
47 Ivan Krstanovic
2 Mateo Barać
77 Robert Marijanović
90 Tomislav Tomić
11 David Virgili Fernandez
18 Marko Matić
44 Kristian Sesar
33 Ivan Jelić
Coach · –
Čelik
4-3-3
1 Arman Šutković
24 Halid Šabanović
17 Albin Omić
4 Kenan Horić
15 Marin Popović
5 Harun Vardo
18 Oliver Šarkić
8 Andres Mohedano
14 Aldin Hrvanović
99 Anes Mašić
11 Samy Faraj
Coach · –
We make Siroki Brijeg a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg win | 52% | 48% | +4 |
| Draw | 24% | 28% | −4 |
| Čelik win | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 43% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 68% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 23% | +2 |
| Siroki Brijeg or draw | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Siroki Brijeg clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Čelik clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premijer Liga this season · since 1 Sept
SIROKI BRIJEG
ČELIK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 11 | +20 | 30 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 10 | −1 | 13 |
| 6 | BSK Banja Luka | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 7 | Čelik | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 8 | Sloga Doboj | 10 | −8 | 9 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 11 | −6 | 8 |
| 10 | Velež | 9 | −8 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
BSK Banja Luka
Sloga Doboj
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež