Radnik Bijeljina v Siroki Brijeg prediction · Premijer Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Radnik BijeljinaDrawSiroki Brijeg

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Radnik Bijeljina 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Radnik Bijeljina are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Radnik Bijeljina 44%, draw 26%, Siroki Brijeg 30%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Radnik Bijeljina v Siroki BrijegBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Radnik Bijeljina win44%

Draw26%

Siroki Brijeg win30%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueGradski stadion Bijeljina

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Radnik Bijeljina

Siroki Brijeg

8Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Premijer Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · Premijer Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Siroki Brijeg	11	0	14
9	Radnik Bijeljina	11	−6	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · radnik bijeljina winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Radnik Bijeljina a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Radnik Bijeljina v Siroki Brijeg~~1.39 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in Premijer Liga this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 14~~9 v 4

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Radnik Bijeljina win	44%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Siroki Brijeg win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Radnik Bijeljina or draw	70%	–	–
Radnik Bijeljina clean sheet	34%	–	–
Siroki Brijeg clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%

0123450 8.3 9.7 5.0 1 12.1 12.1 6.8 2.5 2 8.1 8.6 4.7 3 3.8 4.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Radnik Bijeljina down, Siroki Brijeg across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,024 Premijer Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premijer Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.4% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Radnik Bijeljina at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Siroki Brijeg away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Radnik Bijeljina, 1.09 for Siroki Brijeg. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SIR 2–1 RAD · SIR 4–0 RAD · RAD 2–0 SIR · SIR 1–3 RAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premijer Liga this season · since 5 Sept

RADNIK BIJELJINA

LLDWDL1–2 · 2–3 · 4–4 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–1

SIROKI BRIJEG

LDLDWD1–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zrinjski	11	+20	30
2	Borac Banja Luka	9	+10	22
3	FK Sarajevo	11	+3	18
4	Siroki Brijeg	11	0	14
5	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	11	−3	13
6	Čelik	11	−4	10
7	BSK Banja Luka	10	−4	9
8	Sloga Doboj	10	−8	9
9	Radnik Bijeljina	11	−6	8
10	Velež	9	−8	8