Borac Banja Luka v Sloga Doboj prediction · Premijer Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Borac Banja LukaDrawSloga Doboj

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Borac Banja Luka 80%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Borac Banja Luka are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Borac Banja Luka 80%, draw 14%, Sloga Doboj 6%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Borac Banja Luka v Sloga DobojBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Borac Banja Luka win80%

Draw14%

Sloga Doboj win6%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueGradski stadion Banja Luka

RefereeJ. Martinovic

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Borac Banja Luka

Sloga Doboj

3Days since last match9

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

Last match: 16 Oct · Premijer Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Borac Banja Luka	9	+10	22
8	Sloga Doboj	10	−8	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · borac banja luka winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

80% The market77%

Us80%

~~Market~~77%

We make Borac Banja Luka an 80% chance to win. The market has them at 77%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–0.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Borac Banja Luka v Sloga Doboj~~2.36 – 0.46

~~Form · last six in Premijer Liga this season · since 2 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 22 v 9~~2 v 8

~~The market · Borac Banja Luka win~~77% · ours 80%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Borac Banja Luka win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Borac Banja Luka win	80%	77%	+3
Draw	14%	16%	−2
Sloga Doboj win	6%	8%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	53%	58%	−5
Both teams to score	32%	40%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	76%	79%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	31%	37%	−6
Borac Banja Luka or draw	94%	92%	+2
Borac Banja Luka clean sheet	64%	–	–
Sloga Doboj clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 16.4%

0123450 6.1 3.1 1 14.5 6.3 2 16.4 7.4 3 12.8 5.7 4 7.7 3.4 5 3.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Borac Banja Luka down, Sloga Doboj across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,024 Premijer Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premijer Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.4% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Borac Banja Luka at home: 2.00 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sloga Doboj away: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.36 goals for Borac Banja Luka, 0.46 for Sloga Doboj. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–2 BOR · BOR 3–1 SLO · SLO 0–4 BOR · BOR 2–1 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premijer Liga this season · since 2 Sept

BORAC BANJA LUKA

WLWWWW2–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–0

SLOGA DOBOJ

WDLLLL2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–6 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zrinjski	11	+20	30
2	Borac Banja Luka	9	+10	22
3	FK Sarajevo	11	+3	18
4	Siroki Brijeg	11	0	14
5	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	11	−3	13
6	Čelik	11	−4	10
7	BSK Banja Luka	10	−4	9
8	Sloga Doboj	10	−8	9
9	Radnik Bijeljina	11	−6	8
10	Velež	9	−8	8