Home › Football › Premijer Liga › Borac Banja Luka v BSK Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka v BSK Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka

2–0Full time

BSK Banja Luka

Premijer Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Gradski stadion Banja Luka

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Borac Banja Luka 2–0 BSK Banja Luka BORAC BANJA LUKA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Borac Banja Luka win~~80%

~~The market said~~86%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.062

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.032

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 39 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Borac Banja Luka win at 80%.
1′KICK-OFF Borac Banja Luka v BSK Banja Luka
2′Little has changed for our model: Borac Banja Luka 80% before kick-off, 80% now. 0–0 · 80–13–6
3′Little has changed for our model: Borac Banja Luka 80% before kick-off, 80% now. 0–0 · 80–13–6
44′We said Borac Banja Luka at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–27–8
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 73% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 73% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
45′HALF-TIME Borac Banja Luka 0–0 BSK Banja Luka
45′SECOND HALF Borac Banja Luka 0–0 BSK Banja Luka
46′We said Borac Banja Luka at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–28–8
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 73% now
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 54' Borac Banja Luka 0–0 BSK Banja Luka
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Borac Banja Luka 1–0 BSK Banja Luka
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Borac Banja Luka win: 80% at kick-off, 64% now
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Borac Banja Luka · On: O. Sijaric · Off: D. Vukovic
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Borac Banja Luka · On: O. Sijaric · Off: D. Vukovic
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Borac Banja Luka · On: S. Savic · Off: A. Milak
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Borac Banja Luka · On: M. Deket · Off: A. Roguljic
64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' BSK Banja Luka · On: N. Antesevic · Off: O. Radosevic
64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' BSK Banja Luka · On: S. Ristic · Off: D. Culina
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' BSK Banja Luka · On: S. Ristic · Off: D. Culina
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Borac Banja Luka · On: B. Cipetic · Off: V. Rogan
75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' BSK Banja Luka · On: M. Savic · Off: A. Subic
75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' BSK Banja Luka · On: M. Kovacevic · Off: S. Marcetic
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' BSK Banja Luka · On: M. Savic · Off: A. Subic
76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' BSK Banja Luka · On: M. Kovacevic · Off: S. Marcetic
77′⚽ GOAL · 78' Borac Banja Luka 1–0 BSK Banja Luka
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Borac Banja Luka 2–0 BSK Banja Luka · L. Juricic
78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' BSK Banja Luka · On: M. Savic · Off: A. Subic
78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' BSK Banja Luka · On: M. Kovacevic · Off: S. Marcetic
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Borac Banja Luka 2–0 BSK Banja Luka · M. Deket (assist B. Cipetic)
79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Borac Banja Luka · On: K. Peric · Off: L. Juricic
82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' BSK Banja Luka · On: D. Dizdarevic · Off: D. Cavic
FTFULL TIME Borac Banja Luka 2–0 BSK Banja Luka
FTBorac Banja Luka 2–0 BSK Banja Luka · Borac Banja Luka win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Borac Banja Luka win80%

Draw13%

BSK Banja Luka win7%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:30

Venue · Gradski stadion Banja Luka

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Borac Banja Luka

Formation not confirmed

72 M. Jurkas

19 V. Rogan

2 B. Meijers

6 S. Sanicanin

16 S. Herrera

98 S. Ogrinec

10 D. Vukovic

44 A. Roguljic

12 A. Hiros

47 A. Milak

7 L. Juricic

Coach · Vinko Marinovic

Substitutes

1 · D. Siskovski

3 · A. Pascual

4 · B. Cipetic

14 · P. Djajic

17 · O. Sijaric

22 · I. Kukavica

23 · S. Vranjes

9 · K. Peric

89 · M. Deket

77 · S. Savic

24 · J. Carolina

BSK Banja Luka

Formation not confirmed

31 S. Modic

7 N. Keranovic

8 B. Eric

14 O. Radosevic

18 A. Subic

20 Z. Kvrzic

22 D. Cavic

26 N. Runic

30 D. Culina

32 J. Ljubic

49 S. Marcetic

Coach · Bojan Puzigaca

Substitutes

77 · A. Stupar

2 · N. Antesevic

11 · D. Radic

16 · F. Bezdrob

17 · F. Racic

19 · M. Bundalo

21 · M. Kovacevic

23 · M. Savic

24 · F. Predragovic

27 · S. Ristic

28 · D. Dizdarevic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Borac Banja Luka

Formation not confirmed

72 M. Jurkas

19 V. Rogan

2 B. Meijers

6 S. Sanicanin

16 S. Herrera

98 S. Ogrinec

10 D. Vukovic

44 A. Roguljic

12 A. Hiros

47 A. Milak

7 L. Juricic

Coach · Vinko Marinovic

Substitutes

1 · D. Siskovski

3 · A. Pascual

4 · B. Cipetic

14 · P. Djajic

17 · O. Sijaric

22 · I. Kukavica

23 · S. Vranjes

9 · K. Peric

89 · M. Deket

77 · S. Savic

24 · J. Carolina

BSK Banja Luka

Formation not confirmed

31 S. Modic

7 N. Keranovic

8 B. Eric

14 O. Radosevic

18 A. Subic

20 Z. Kvrzic

22 D. Cavic

26 N. Runic

30 D. Culina

32 J. Ljubic

49 S. Marcetic

Coach · Bojan Puzigaca

Substitutes

77 · A. Stupar

2 · N. Antesevic

11 · D. Radic

16 · F. Bezdrob

17 · F. Racic

19 · M. Bundalo

21 · M. Kovacevic

23 · M. Savic

24 · F. Predragovic

27 · S. Ristic

28 · D. Dizdarevic

Our number · borac banja luka winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

80% The market86%

Us80%

~~Market~~86%

We make Borac Banja Luka a 80% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–0.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · borac banja luka win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 78% to 86% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Borac Banja Luka win	80%	86%	−6
Draw	13%	10%	+2
BSK Banja Luka win	7%	4%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	64%	64%	−1
Both teams to score	42%	34%	+8
Over 1.5 goals	83%	81%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	42%	44%	−2
Borac Banja Luka or draw	93%	96%	−4
Borac Banja Luka clean sheet	54%	–	–
BSK Banja Luka clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.8%

0123450 3.6 2.9 1 10.3 5.9 2.1 2 12.8 7.9 2.6 3 11.3 6.8 2.2 4 7.7 4.6 5 4.4 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Borac Banja Luka down, BSK Banja Luka across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,013 Premijer Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premijer Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.9% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Borac Banja Luka at home: 1.83 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). BSK Banja Luka away: 0.75 scored, 1.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.70 goals for Borac Banja Luka, 0.63 for BSK Banja Luka. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Premijer Liga

BORAC BANJA LUKA

DWLWWW2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 3–2

BSK BANJA LUKA

LLLWDD0–1 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 4–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zrinjski	8	+12	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	+8	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	9	−1	10
6	Sloga Doboj	8	−3	9
7	Čelik	8	−1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	−2	8
9	Velež	9	−8	8
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	−7	4