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Model 1.2

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Zvijezda Gradačac v Velež

Zvijezda Gradačac
12:00Upcoming
Velež

Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Stadion Banja Ilidza

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Zvijezda GradačacDrawVelež
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Velež 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Velež are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zvijezda Gradačac 16%, draw 26%, Velež 59%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Zvijezda Gradačac v VeležBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Zvijezda Gradačac win16%
Draw26%
Velež win59%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 12:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion Banja Ilidza

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zvijezda Gradačac

Velež

3Days since last match18

Last match: 24 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 9 Oct · Premijer Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · velež winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
59% The market–
Us59%

We make Velež a 59% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zvijezda Gradačac v Velež0.70 – 1.60

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zvijezda Gradačac win16%––
Draw26%––
Velež win59%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Zvijezda Gradačac or draw41%––
Zvijezda Gradačac clean sheet20%––
Velež clean sheet50%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.6%
0123450 10.4 15.6 12.8 6.8 2.7 1 6.6 11.6 9.0 4.8 2 2.5 3.9 3.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zvijezda Gradačac down, Velež across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

ZVIJEZDA GRADAČAC

No matches in our record yet.

VELEŽ

No matches in our record yet.