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Model 1.2

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Tomislav v FK Sarajevo

Tomislav
13:00Upcoming
FK Sarajevo

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TomislavDrawFK Sarajevo
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · FK Sarajevo 82%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FK Sarajevo are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tomislav 6%, draw 13%, FK Sarajevo 82%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Tomislav v FK SarajevoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Tomislav win6%
Draw13%
FK Sarajevo win82%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tomislav

FK Sarajevo

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 24 Oct · Premijer Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fk sarajevo winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 01:05 · locked at kick-off
82% The market–
Us82%

We make FK Sarajevo an 82% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–2.8, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tomislav v FK Sarajevo0.63 – 2.77

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:26
Our probability · FK Sarajevo win

Published at 80%, 82% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tomislav win6%––
Draw13%––
FK Sarajevo win82%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Tomislav or draw18%––
Tomislav clean sheet6%––
FK Sarajevo clean sheet53%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.8%
0123450 3.5 9.0 12.8 11.9 8.2 4.61 6.0 8.0 7.4 5.2 2.92 2.5 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tomislav down, FK Sarajevo across0–5 goals a side shown (93.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

TOMISLAV

No matches in our record yet.

FK SARAJEVO

No matches in our record yet.