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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Sloboda Tuzla v Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

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Sloboda Tuzla v Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Sloboda Tuzla
19:30Upcoming
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Cup · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sloboda TuzlaDrawZeljeznicar Sarajevo
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sloboda Tuzla 19%, draw 26%, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 54%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Sloboda Tuzla v Zeljeznicar SarajevoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sloboda Tuzla win19%
Draw26%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win54%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sloboda Tuzla

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 24 Oct · Premijer Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zeljeznicar sarajevo winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 01:05 · locked at kick-off
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Zeljeznicar Sarajevo a 54% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sloboda Tuzla v Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0.81 – 1.54

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 07:17
Our probability · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win

Published at 55%, 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sloboda Tuzla win19%––
Draw26%––
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win54%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Sloboda Tuzla or draw46%––
Sloboda Tuzla clean sheet21%––
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo clean sheet45%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.3%
0123450 9.9 14.3 11.3 5.8 2.2 1 7.3 12.3 9.2 4.7 2 3.1 4.8 3.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sloboda Tuzla down, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.20
Over 2.53 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsSLO 0–2 ZEL · ZEL 3–2 SLO · ZEL 3–0 SLO · SLO 0–1 ZEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

SLOBODA TUZLA

No matches in our record yet.

ZELJEZNICAR SARAJEVO

No matches in our record yet.