Posušje v Vitez prediction · Cup

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PosušjeDrawVitez

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Posušje 70%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Posušje are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Posušje 70%, draw 22%, Vitez 8%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 30%.

The AI’s read on Posušje v VitezBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Posušje win70%

Draw22%

Vitez win8%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadion Mokri Dolac

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Posušje

Vitez

10Days since last match11

Last match: 18 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · posušje winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Posušje a 70% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.4, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Posušje v Vitez~~1.79 – 0.45

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Posušje win	70%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Vitez win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	30%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Posušje or draw	92%	–	–
Posušje clean sheet	64%	–	–
Vitez clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.8%

0123450 10.9 4.5 1 18.8 8.8 2 17.1 7.6 3 10.2 4.6 4 4.6 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Posušje down, Vitez across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 638 leagues on one scale, from the 409,594 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 24 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Posušje play in Premijer Liga, Vitez in 1st League - FBiH.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Posušje are at home.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Posušje, 0.45 for Vitez. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~VIT 1–2 POS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

POSUŠJE

No matches in our record yet.

VITEZ

No matches in our record yet.

Posušje v Vitez

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Posušje

Vitez

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Cup this season