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Zvijezda 09 v Omarska

Zvijezda 09
1–1Full time
Omarska

1st League - RS · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 01:30
Zvijezda 09 1–1 Omarska ZVIJEZDA 09 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zvijezda 09 win68%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.140
The market’s Brier score0.927

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zvijezda 09 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zvijezda 09 68%, draw 19%, Omarska 13%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Zvijezda 09 v OmarskaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Zvijezda 09 win68%
Draw19%
Omarska win13%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 13:00

RoundRS · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zvijezda 09

Omarska

4Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - RS

Last match: 18 Oct · 1st League - RS

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Omarska11−118
14Zvijezda 0911−137

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zvijezda 09 winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 19 Oct 01:44 · locked at kick-off
68% The market55%
Us68%
Market55%

We make Zvijezda 09 a 68% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zvijezda 09 v Omarska2.14 – 0.80
Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 19 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 7 v 814 v 13
The market · Zvijezda 09 win55% · ours 68%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 12:36
Our probability · Zvijezda 09 win The market, margin stripped

Published at 69%, 68% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zvijezda 09 win68%55%+13
Draw19%24%−5
Omarska win13%21%−8
Over 2.5 goals56%57%−1
Both teams to score48%56%−8
Over 1.5 goals78%75%+3
Over 3.5 goals34%36%−2
Zvijezda 09 or draw87%79%+8
Zvijezda 09 clean sheet45%––
Omarska clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.9%
0123450 5.4 4.6 1 11.6 8.8 3.6 2 11.9 9.4 3.8 3 8.5 6.7 2.7 4 4.6 3.6 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Zvijezda 09 down, Omarska across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.71
Over 2.54 of 7
Both scored4 of 7
Last meetingsZVI 0–2 OMA · ZVI 3–0 OMA · OMA 2–1 ZVI · ZVI 6–2 OMA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 19 Sept

ZVIJEZDA 09

LLLDWL1–4 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

OMARSKA

WLDLLW1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Leotar11+2329
2Laktaši11+2025
3FK Majevica Lopare11+819
4Drina Zvornik11+1418
5Potkozarje11017
6Kozara Gradiška11+116
7Rudar Prijedor11−215
8FK Romanija Pale11−815
9Famos Vojkovići11−713
10Slavija11−611
11Sutjeska Foča11−611
12Velež Nevesinje11−1311
13Omarska11−118
14Zvijezda 0911−137

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.