Add to your Home ScreenGet the appFree · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › 1st League - RS › Zvijezda 09 v Drina Zvornik

Back
Bosnia flag

Zvijezda 09 v Drina Zvornik

Zvijezda 09
2–1Full time
Drina Zvornik

1st League - RS · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30
Zvijezda 09 2–1 Drina Zvornik ZVIJEZDA 09 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zvijezda 09 win40%
The market said25%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.549
The market’s Brier score0.878

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Zvijezda 09 win40%
Draw26%
Drina Zvornik win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zvijezda 09 winPublished 10 Oct 23:45
40% The market25%
Us40%
Market25%

We make Zvijezda 09 a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 25%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
20%25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1710 OCT 03:54
Our probability · zvijezda 09 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 25% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zvijezda 09 win40%25%+15
Draw26%25%+1
Drina Zvornik win34%50%−16
Over 2.5 goals45%52%−7
Both teams to score49%54%−4
Over 1.5 goals71%74%−4
Over 3.5 goals24%31%−7
Zvijezda 09 or draw66%50%+16
Zvijezda 09 clean sheet31%––
Drina Zvornik clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 8.4 10.0 5.9 2.5 1 11.0 12.2 7.3 3.0 2 7.1 8.0 4.7 3 3.2 3.6 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zvijezda 09 down, Drina Zvornik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsDRI 2–0 ZVI · ZVI 2–1 DRI · ZVI 0–0 DRI · DRI 1–0 ZVI

Form · last six in 1st League - RS

ZVIJEZDA 09

LLLLLD1–4 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0

DRINA ZVORNIK

WDLWDW3–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Leotar9+2123
2Laktaši9+1722
3Potkozarje10+117
4Drina Zvornik9+1115
5FK Majevica Lopare9+515
6Kozara Gradiška9+215
7FK Romanija Pale9−812
8Rudar Prijedor9−311
9Velež Nevesinje9−911
10Famos Vojkovići9−410
11Slavija10−610
12Sutjeska Foča9−68
13Omarska9−85
14Zvijezda 099−134

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 18:27 UTC.