Velež Nevesinje v Laktaši prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Velež NevesinjeDrawLaktaši

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Laktaši 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Laktaši are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Velež Nevesinje 20%, draw 20%, Laktaši 60%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Velež Nevesinje v LaktašiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Velež Nevesinje win20%

Draw20%

Laktaši win60%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundRS · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Velež Nevesinje

Laktaši

3Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · 1st League - RS

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Laktaši	12	+22	28
12	Velež Nevesinje	12	−16	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · laktaši winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:03 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Laktaši a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Velež Nevesinje v Laktaši~~1.10 – 2.10

~~Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 23 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 28~~12 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Laktaši win

Published at 59%, 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Velež Nevesinje win	20%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Laktaši win	60%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Velež Nevesinje or draw	40%	–	–
Velež Nevesinje clean sheet	13%	–	–
Laktaši clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.4%

0123450 4.2 8.8 8.8 6.2 3.4 1 4.9 9.2 9.4 6.5 3.5 2 2.6 5.2 5.2 3.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Velež Nevesinje down, Laktaši across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,437 1st League - RS matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Velež Nevesinje at home: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Laktaši away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Velež Nevesinje, 2.10 for Laktaši. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LAK 4–0 VEL · VEL 1–0 LAK · LAK 6–0 VEL · VEL 2–4 LAK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 23 Sept

VELEŽ NEVESINJE

WLWLLL2–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–3

LAKTAŠI

DWLWLW1–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	12	+26	32
2	Laktaši	12	+22	28
3	Potkozarje	12	+2	20
4	FK Majevica Lopare	11	+8	19
5	Drina Zvornik	12	+12	18
6	Kozara Gradiška	12	−1	16
7	Famos Vojkovići	12	−5	16
8	Rudar Prijedor	12	−4	15
9	FK Romanija Pale	12	−9	15
10	Slavija	12	−5	14
11	Sutjeska Foča	11	−6	11
12	Velež Nevesinje	12	−16	11
13	Omarska	12	−11	9
14	Zvijezda 09	12	−13	8