Sutjeska Foča v Potkozarje prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Sutjeska Foča 2–1 Potkozarje SUTJESKA FOČA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sutjeska Foča win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.443

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sutjeska Foča are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sutjeska Foča 46%, draw 27%, Potkozarje 27%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Sutjeska Foča v PotkozarjeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sutjeska Foča win46%

Draw27%

Potkozarje win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundRS · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sutjeska Foča

Potkozarje

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - RS

Last match: 9 Oct · 1st League - RS

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
12	Sutjeska Foča	10	−7	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sutjeska foča winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Sutjeska Foča a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sutjeska Foča v Potkozarje~~1.33 – 0.94

~~Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 17~~12 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sutjeska Foča win	46%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Potkozarje win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Sutjeska Foča or draw	73%	–	–
Sutjeska Foča clean sheet	40%	–	–
Potkozarje clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.9%

0123450 10.6 10.1 4.6 1 13.9 12.3 5.9 2 9.0 8.2 3.9 3 4.1 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sutjeska Foča down, Potkozarje across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,424 1st League - RS matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Sutjeska Foča at home: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Potkozarje away: 0.75 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Sutjeska Foča, 0.94 for Potkozarje. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 12 Sept

SUTJESKA FOČA

LLWLDL0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2

POTKOZARJE

LWWDLW0–3 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	10	+22	26
2	Laktaši	10	+21	25
3	FK Majevica Lopare	10	+8	18
4	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
5	Kozara Gradiška	10	+2	16
6	Drina Zvornik	10	+10	15
7	Famos Vojkovići	10	−3	13
8	Rudar Prijedor	10	−3	12
9	FK Romanija Pale	10	−9	12
10	Velež Nevesinje	10	−12	11
11	Slavija	10	−6	10
12	Sutjeska Foča	10	−7	8
13	Zvijezda 09	10	−12	7
14	Omarska	10	−12	5