Sutjeska Foča v FK Romanija Pale prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Sutjeska Foča 0–3 FK Romanija Pale SUTJESKA FOČA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sutjeska Foča win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.070

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sutjeska Foča are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sutjeska Foča 60%, draw 22%, FK Romanija Pale 18%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Sutjeska Foča v FK Romanija PaleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sutjeska Foča win60%

Draw22%

FK Romanija Pale win18%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundRS · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sutjeska Foča

FK Romanija Pale

7Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - RS

Last match: 21 Oct · 1st League - RS

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	FK Romanija Pale	12	−9	15
11	Sutjeska Foča	11	−6	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sutjeska foča winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Sutjeska Foča a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sutjeska Foča v FK Romanija Pale~~1.89 – 0.92

~~Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 11 v 15~~11 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sutjeska Foča win

Published at 59%, 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sutjeska Foča win	60%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
FK Romanija Pale win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Sutjeska Foča or draw	82%	–	–
Sutjeska Foča clean sheet	40%	–	–
FK Romanija Pale clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.7%

0123450 6.2 5.9 2.6 1 11.7 10.2 4.8 2 10.6 9.5 4.4 3 6.7 6.0 2.8 4 3.2 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sutjeska Foča down, FK Romanija Pale across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,437 1st League - RS matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.14 goals a meeting; 2 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sutjeska Foča at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). FK Romanija Pale away: 1.17 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.89 goals for Sutjeska Foča, 0.92 for FK Romanija Pale. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.14

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 7

~~Both scored~~2 of 7

~~Last meetings~~SUT 2–0 FKR · SUT 1–2 FKR · FKR 0–2 SUT · SUT 2–0 FKR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 19 Sept

SUTJESKA FOČA

LWLDLW0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1

FK ROMANIJA PALE

LLWLWL0–1 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	12	+26	32
2	Laktaši	12	+22	28
3	Potkozarje	12	+2	20
4	FK Majevica Lopare	11	+8	19
5	Drina Zvornik	12	+12	18
6	Kozara Gradiška	12	−1	16
7	Famos Vojkovići	12	−5	16
8	Rudar Prijedor	12	−4	15
9	FK Romanija Pale	12	−9	15
10	Slavija	12	−5	14
11	Sutjeska Foča	11	−6	11
12	Velež Nevesinje	12	−16	11
13	Omarska	12	−11	9
14	Zvijezda 09	12	−13	8