Rudar Prijedor v Potkozarje prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rudar PrijedorDrawPotkozarje

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rudar Prijedor 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rudar Prijedor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rudar Prijedor 59%, draw 24%, Potkozarje 17%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Rudar Prijedor v PotkozarjeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Rudar Prijedor win59%

Draw24%

Potkozarje win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundRS · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rudar Prijedor

Potkozarje

4Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · 1st League - RS

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Potkozarje	12	+2	20
9	Rudar Prijedor	12	−4	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rudar prijedor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Rudar Prijedor a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rudar Prijedor v Potkozarje~~1.69 – 0.77

~~Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 23 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 20~~9 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rudar Prijedor win

Published at 61%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rudar Prijedor win	59%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Potkozarje win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Rudar Prijedor or draw	83%	–	–
Rudar Prijedor clean sheet	47%	–	–
Potkozarje clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%

0123450 8.9 7.0 2.6 1 14.6 10.7 4.2 2 11.9 8.9 3.5 3 6.8 5.1 4 3.0 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rudar Prijedor down, Potkozarje across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,442 1st League - RS matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.4% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Rudar Prijedor at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Potkozarje away: 0.80 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Rudar Prijedor, 0.77 for Potkozarje. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 23 Sept

RUDAR PRIJEDOR

LLWDWL0–1 · 0–3 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–4

POTKOZARJE

WDLWLW1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	13	+26	33
2	Laktaši	13	+29	31
3	Drina Zvornik	13	+14	21
4	Potkozarje	12	+2	20
5	FK Majevica Lopare	12	+6	19
6	Kozara Gradiška	13	+1	19
7	FK Romanija Pale	13	−6	18
8	Famos Vojkovići	12	−5	16
9	Rudar Prijedor	12	−4	15
10	Slavija	13	−5	15
11	Sutjeska Foča	12	−9	11
12	Velež Nevesinje	13	−23	11
13	Omarska	12	−11	9
14	Zvijezda 09	13	−15	8