Leotar v Laktaši prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Leotar 1–0 Laktaši LEOTAR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Leotar win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.383

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Leotar are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Leotar 50%, draw 27%, Laktaši 24%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Leotar v LaktašiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Leotar win50%

Draw27%

Laktaši win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundRS · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leotar

Laktaši

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - RS

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	10	+22	26
2	Laktaši	10	+21	25

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leotar winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Leotar a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Leotar v Laktaši~~1.42 – 0.88

~~Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 16 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 26 v 25~~1 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Leotar win	50%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Laktaši win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Leotar or draw	76%	–	–
Leotar clean sheet	42%	–	–
Laktaši clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.4%

0123450 10.2 9.1 4.0 1 14.4 12.1 5.4 2 10.0 8.6 3.8 3 4.8 4.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Leotar down, Laktaši across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,424 1st League - RS matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Leotar at home: 3.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Laktaši away: 2.17 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Leotar, 0.88 for Laktaši. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 7

~~Both scored~~2 of 7

~~Last meetings~~LEO 0–0 LAK · LAK 0–2 LEO · LEO 1–1 LAK · LEO 2–0 LAK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 16 Sept

LEOTAR

WWWDWW2–0 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 6–0 · 2–1

LAKTAŠI

WWDWLW2–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	10	+22	26
2	Laktaši	10	+21	25
3	FK Majevica Lopare	10	+8	18
4	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
5	Kozara Gradiška	10	+2	16
6	Drina Zvornik	10	+10	15
7	Famos Vojkovići	10	−3	13
8	Rudar Prijedor	10	−3	12
9	FK Romanija Pale	10	−9	12
10	Velež Nevesinje	10	−12	11
11	Slavija	10	−6	10
12	Sutjeska Foča	10	−7	8
13	Zvijezda 09	10	−12	7
14	Omarska	10	−12	5