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Laktaši v Omarska

Laktaši

4–0Full time

Omarska

1st League - RS · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Laktaši 4–0 Omarska LAKTAŠI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Laktaši win~~90%

~~The market said~~85%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.015

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.037

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Laktaši win90%

Draw7%

Omarska win3%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · laktaši winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

90% The market85%

Us90%

~~Market~~85%

We make Laktaši a 90% chance to win. The market has them at 85%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.5–0.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · laktaši win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 85% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Laktaši win	90%	85%	+6
Draw	7%	11%	−4
Omarska win	3%	5%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	75%	66%	+10
Both teams to score	37%	32%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	45%	+11
Laktaši or draw	97%	95%	+2
Laktaši clean sheet	61%	–	–
Omarska clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 12.8%

0123450 2.0 1 6.8 3.3 2 11.3 5.5 3 12.8 6.2 4 11.1 5.3 5 7.9 3.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Laktaši down, Omarska across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,418 1st League - RS matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.0% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 5.67 goals a meeting; 6 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Laktaši at home: 2.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Omarska away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.51 goals for Laktaši, 0.49 for Omarska. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~5.67

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LAK 4–0 OMA · OMA 0–4 LAK · OMA 2–1 LAK · LAK 5–2 OMA

Form · last six in 1st League - RS

LAKTAŠI

WWWDWL3–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–2

OMARSKA

LLWLDL0–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	9	+21	23
2	Laktaši	9	+17	22
3	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
4	Drina Zvornik	9	+11	15
5	FK Majevica Lopare	9	+5	15
6	Kozara Gradiška	9	+2	15
7	FK Romanija Pale	9	−8	12
8	Rudar Prijedor	9	−3	11
9	Velež Nevesinje	9	−9	11
10	Famos Vojkovići	9	−4	10
11	Slavija	10	−6	10
12	Sutjeska Foča	9	−6	8
13	Omarska	9	−8	5
14	Zvijezda 09	9	−13	4