Kozara Gradiška v Rudar Prijedor prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Kozara Gradiška 2–2 Rudar Prijedor KOZARA GRADIŠKA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kozara Gradiška win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.753

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kozara Gradiška win44%

Draw30%

Rudar Prijedor win26%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kozara Gradiška

Rudar Prijedor

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Kozara Gradiška	9	+2	15
9	Rudar Prijedor	9	−3	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kozara gradiška winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Kozara Gradiška a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kozara Gradiška win	44%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Rudar Prijedor win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Kozara Gradiška or draw	74%	–	–
Kozara Gradiška clean sheet	45%	–	–
Rudar Prijedor clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.1%

0123450 14.1 11.4 4.6 1 16.1 12.5 5.2 2 9.3 7.4 3.1 3 3.8 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kozara Gradiška down, Rudar Prijedor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,423 1st League - RS matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.6% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kozara Gradiška at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rudar Prijedor away: 0.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Kozara Gradiška, 0.81 for Rudar Prijedor. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~RUD 2–3 KOZ · KOZ 0–1 RUD · KOZ 2–1 RUD · RUD 2–0 KOZ

Form · last six in 1st League - RS

KOZARA GRADIŠKA

WLWDWL3–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

RUDAR PRIJEDOR

DLWLLW2–2 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	10	+22	26
2	Laktaši	10	+21	25
3	FK Majevica Lopare	10	+8	18
4	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
5	Drina Zvornik	10	+10	15
6	Kozara Gradiška	9	+2	15
7	Famos Vojkovići	10	−3	13
8	FK Romanija Pale	10	−9	12
9	Rudar Prijedor	9	−3	11
10	Velež Nevesinje	10	−12	11
11	Slavija	10	−6	10
12	Sutjeska Foča	10	−7	8
13	Zvijezda 09	10	−12	7
14	Omarska	10	−12	5