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Model 1.2

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FK Romanija Pale v Slavija

FK Romanija Pale
1–2Full time
Slavija

1st League - RS · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 01:30
FK Romanija Pale 1–2 Slavija FK ROMANIJA PALE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FK Romanija Pale win45%
The market said44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.775
The market’s Brier score0.753

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FK Romanija Pale are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FK Romanija Pale 45%, draw 26%, Slavija 29%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on FK Romanija Pale v SlavijaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

FK Romanija Pale win45%
Draw26%
Slavija win29%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 13:30

RoundRS · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FK Romanija Pale

Slavija

4Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - RS

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - RS

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8FK Romanija Pale11−815
10Slavija11−611

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fk romanija pale winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 18 Oct 02:03 · locked at kick-off
45% The market44%
Us45%
Market44%

We make FK Romanija Pale a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FK Romanija Pale v Slavija1.44 – 1.09
Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 19 SeptW2 D0 L4 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 15 v 118 v 10
The market · FK Romanija Pale win44% · ours 45%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 13:06
Our probability · FK Romanija Pale win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 45% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FK Romanija Pale win45%44%+1
Draw26%27%−1
Slavija win29%30%−1
Over 2.5 goals46%56%−10
Both teams to score50%59%−9
Over 1.5 goals71%77%−6
Over 3.5 goals25%36%−11
FK Romanija Pale or draw71%70%+1
FK Romanija Pale clean sheet34%––
Slavija clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 8.0 9.0 4.8 1 11.8 12.0 6.6 2.5 2 8.2 8.7 4.7 3 4.0 4.2 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FK Romanija Pale down, Slavija across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting1.67
Over 2.51 of 6
Both scored2 of 6
Last meetingsFKR 2–1 SLA · SLA 1–1 FKR · SLA 1–0 FKR · FKR 2–0 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 19 Sept

FK ROMANIJA PALE

LLLWLW1–3 · 0–1 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 3–2

SLAVIJA

LDWDLD0–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Leotar11+2329
2Laktaši11+2025
3FK Majevica Lopare11+819
4Drina Zvornik11+1418
5Potkozarje11017
6Kozara Gradiška11+116
7Rudar Prijedor11−215
8FK Romanija Pale11−815
9Famos Vojkovići11−713
10Slavija11−611
11Sutjeska Foča11−611
12Velež Nevesinje11−1311
13Omarska11−118
14Zvijezda 0911−137

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.