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FK Romanija Pale v Leotar

FK Romanija Pale

1–2Full time

Leotar

1st League - RS · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

FK Romanija Pale 1–2 Leotar LEOTAR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Leotar win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.372

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

FK Romanija Pale win25%

Draw25%

Leotar win50%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leotar winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Leotar a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FK Romanija Pale win	25%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Leotar win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
FK Romanija Pale or draw	50%	–	–
FK Romanija Pale clean sheet	23%	–	–
Leotar clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.8%

0123450 8.7 12.8 9.5 5.0 2.1 1 8.5 11.6 8.7 4.5 2 4.1 5.7 4.1 2.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FK Romanija Pale down, Leotar across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,418 1st League - RS matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.0% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.17 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FK Romanija Pale at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Leotar away: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for FK Romanija Pale, 1.53 for Leotar. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LEO 1–1 FKR · FKR 0–3 LEO · LEO 1–1 FKR · FKR 0–0 LEO

Form · last six in 1st League - RS

FK ROMANIJA PALE

LWLLLW0–3 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–5 · 2–1

LEOTAR

WWWWDW3–0 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	9	+21	23
2	Laktaši	9	+17	22
3	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
4	Drina Zvornik	9	+11	15
5	FK Majevica Lopare	9	+5	15
6	Kozara Gradiška	9	+2	15
7	FK Romanija Pale	9	−8	12
8	Rudar Prijedor	9	−3	11
9	Velež Nevesinje	9	−9	11
10	Famos Vojkovići	9	−4	10
11	Slavija	10	−6	10
12	Sutjeska Foča	9	−6	8
13	Omarska	9	−8	5
14	Zvijezda 09	9	−13	4