Drina Zvornik v Famos Vojkovići prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Drina Zvornik 4–0 Famos Vojkovići DRINA ZVORNIK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Drina Zvornik win~~72%

~~The market said~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.124

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.118

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Drina Zvornik are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Drina Zvornik 72%, draw 18%, Famos Vojkovići 10%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Drina Zvornik v Famos VojkovićiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Drina Zvornik win72%

Draw18%

Famos Vojkovići win10%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundRS · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Drina Zvornik

Famos Vojkovići

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - RS

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Drina Zvornik	10	+10	15
7	Famos Vojkovići	10	−3	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drina zvornik winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

72% The market73%

Us72%

~~Market~~73%

We make Drina Zvornik a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 73%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.1–0.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Drina Zvornik v Famos Vojkovići~~2.14 – 0.62

~~Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 13~~6 v 7

~~The market · Drina Zvornik win~~73% · ours 72%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Drina Zvornik win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Drina Zvornik win	72%	73%	−1
Draw	18%	19%	−1
Famos Vojkovići win	10%	9%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	52%	59%	−7
Both teams to score	40%	46%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	75%	79%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	30%	40%	−10
Drina Zvornik or draw	90%	91%	−1
Drina Zvornik clean sheet	54%	–	–
Famos Vojkovići clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 14.1%

0123450 6.7 4.3 1 13.7 8.3 2.7 2 14.1 8.6 2.7 3 10.0 6.1 4 5.5 3.3 5 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Drina Zvornik down, Famos Vojkovići across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,424 1st League - RS matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - RS matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.38 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Drina Zvornik at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Famos Vojkovići away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.14 goals for Drina Zvornik, 0.62 for Famos Vojkovići. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.38

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~2 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DRI 6–0 FAM · FAM 2–1 DRI · DRI 2–1 FAM · FAM 2–0 DRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - RS this season · since 12 Sept

DRINA ZVORNIK

DLWDWL0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

FAMOS VOJKOVIĆI

LWLWDW0–2 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leotar	10	+22	26
2	Laktaši	10	+21	25
3	FK Majevica Lopare	10	+8	18
4	Potkozarje	10	+1	17
5	Kozara Gradiška	10	+2	16
6	Drina Zvornik	10	+10	15
7	Famos Vojkovići	10	−3	13
8	Rudar Prijedor	10	−3	12
9	FK Romanija Pale	10	−9	12
10	Velež Nevesinje	10	−12	11
11	Slavija	10	−6	10
12	Sutjeska Foča	10	−7	8
13	Zvijezda 09	10	−12	7
14	Omarska	10	−12	5