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Zvijezda Gradačac v Bratstvo Gračanica

Zvijezda Gradačac

0–1Full time

Bratstvo Gračanica

1st League - FBiH · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Zvijezda Gradačac 0–1 Bratstvo Gračanica ZVIJEZDA GRADAČAC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Zvijezda Gradačac win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.003

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Zvijezda Gradačac win57%

Draw23%

Bratstvo Gračanica win21%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zvijezda gradačac winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Zvijezda Gradačac a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zvijezda Gradačac win	57%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Zvijezda Gradačac or draw	79%	–	–
Zvijezda Gradačac clean sheet	41%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%

0123450 7.1 7.5 3.1 1 13.4 10.5 5.0 2 10.6 9.3 4.2 3 6.1 5.3 2.4 4 2.7 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zvijezda Gradačac down, Bratstvo Gračanica across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,177 1st League - FBiH matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.4% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.75 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zvijezda Gradačac at home: 2.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Bratstvo Gračanica away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Zvijezda Gradačac, 0.89 for Bratstvo Gračanica. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~ZVI 3–0 BRA · BRA 1–1 ZVI · ZVI 1–0 BRA · BRA 3–3 ZVI

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH

ZVIJEZDA GRADAČAC

WLDLWD2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1

BRATSTVO GRAČANICA

LWDDDL1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	8	+11	22
2	Posušje	8	+6	18
3	Stupčanica Olovo	8	+12	16
4	GOŠK Gabela	8	+6	16
5	Igman Konjic	8	+4	15
6	Sloboda Tuzla	8	+7	14
7	TOŠK Tešanj	8	0	12
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	8	+4	9
9	Zvijezda Gradačac	8	0	8
10	Bratstvo Gračanica	8	−2	8
11	Radnik Hadžići	8	−4	7
12	Rudar Kakanj	8	−7	7
13	Čapljina	8	−9	7
14	Vitez	8	−6	6
15	Budućnost Banovići	8	−9	6
16	Tomislav	8	−13	5