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Vitez v Posušje

Vitez

1–2Full time

Posušje

1st League - FBiH · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Vitez 1–2 Posušje VITEZ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vitez win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.645

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vitez win38%

Draw27%

Posušje win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vitez winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Vitez a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vitez win	38%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Posušje win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Vitez or draw	65%	–	–
Vitez clean sheet	34%	–	–
Posušje clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%

0123450 9.9 12.3 6.3 2.3 1 13.0 12.2 7.1 2.6 2 7.1 7.6 4.1 3 2.8 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vitez down, Posušje across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,177 1st League - FBiH matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.4% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Vitez at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Posušje away: 1.25 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Vitez, 1.10 for Posušje. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH

VITEZ

DLDLWL1–1 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

POSUŠJE

DWWWDW1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	8	+11	22
2	Posušje	8	+6	18
3	Stupčanica Olovo	8	+12	16
4	GOŠK Gabela	8	+6	16
5	Igman Konjic	8	+4	15
6	Sloboda Tuzla	8	+7	14
7	TOŠK Tešanj	8	0	12
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	8	+4	9
9	Zvijezda Gradačac	8	0	8
10	Bratstvo Gračanica	8	−2	8
11	Radnik Hadžići	8	−4	7
12	Rudar Kakanj	8	−7	7
13	Čapljina	8	−9	7
14	Vitez	8	−6	6
15	Budućnost Banovići	8	−9	6
16	Tomislav	8	−13	5