Travnik v Jedinstvo Bihać prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TravnikDrawJedinstvo Bihać

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Travnik 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Travnik are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Travnik 59%, draw 22%, Jedinstvo Bihać 19%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Travnik v Jedinstvo BihaćBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Travnik win59%

Draw22%

Jedinstvo Bihać win19%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Travnik

Jedinstvo Bihać

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Travnik	10	+8	22
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	10	+5	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · travnik winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:03 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Travnik a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Travnik v Jedinstvo Bihać~~1.74 – 0.85

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 22 v 13~~2 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Travnik win

Published at 60%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Travnik win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Jedinstvo Bihać win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Travnik or draw	81%	–	–
Travnik clean sheet	43%	–	–
Jedinstvo Bihać clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%

0123450 7.2 7.1 2.8 1 13.7 10.3 4.7 2 11.2 9.4 4.0 3 6.5 5.4 2.3 4 2.9 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Travnik down, Jedinstvo Bihać across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,193 1st League - FBiH matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.38 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Travnik at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Jedinstvo Bihać away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Travnik, 0.85 for Jedinstvo Bihać. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.38

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~TRA 3–0 JED · JED 0–0 TRA · TRA 0–1 JED · JED 2–2 TRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept

TRAVNIK

WWWDLL2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–1

JEDINSTVO BIHAĆ

DLLLWD2–2 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Posušje	10	+8	24
2	Travnik	10	+8	22
3	Stupčanica Olovo	10	+14	20
4	Igman Konjic	10	+5	19
5	Sloboda Tuzla	10	+9	18
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	+5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	10	+5	13
10	Budućnost Banovići	10	−8	10
11	Vitez	10	−6	9
12	Zvijezda Gradačac	10	−2	8
13	Rudar Kakanj	10	−8	8
14	Čapljina	10	−10	8
15	Tomislav	10	−13	8
16	Radnik Hadžići	10	−7	7