TOŠK Tešanj v Rudar Kakanj prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TOŠK TešanjDrawRudar Kakanj

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · TOŠK Tešanj 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

TOŠK Tešanj are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: TOŠK Tešanj 61%, draw 22%, Rudar Kakanj 17%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on TOŠK Tešanj v Rudar KakanjBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

TOŠK Tešanj win61%

Draw22%

Rudar Kakanj win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

TOŠK Tešanj

Rudar Kakanj

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	0	14
14	Rudar Kakanj	10	−8	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tošk tešanj winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make TOŠK Tešanj a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · TOŠK Tešanj v Rudar Kakanj~~1.73 – 0.75

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 8~~8 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
TOŠK Tešanj win	61%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Rudar Kakanj win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
TOŠK Tešanj or draw	83%	–	–
TOŠK Tešanj clean sheet	48%	–	–
Rudar Kakanj clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%

0123450 8.1 7.1 2.4 1 15.2 10.0 4.0 2 12.3 9.0 3.4 3 7.2 5.2 4 3.2 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+TOŠK Tešanj down, Rudar Kakanj across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,199 1st League - FBiH matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.7% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

TOŠK Tešanj at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Rudar Kakanj away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for TOŠK Tešanj, 0.75 for Rudar Kakanj. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~TOS 2–0 RUD · RUD 2–0 TOS · RUD 2–1 TOS · TOS 2–0 RUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept

TOŠK TEŠANJ

LWWWDD1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

RUDAR KAKANJ

LWDWLD0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Posušje	11	+10	27
2	Travnik	11	+12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	+10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	+13	20
5	Igman Konjic	11	+4	19
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	+5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	+1	13
10	Vitez	11	−5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	+1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	−6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	−9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	10	−8	8
15	Čapljina	11	−13	8
16	Tomislav	11	−15	8