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Tomislav v Rudar Kakanj

Tomislav

1–0Full time

Rudar Kakanj

1st League - FBiH · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Tomislav 1–0 Rudar Kakanj TOMISLAV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Tomislav win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.247

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Tomislav win59%

Draw21%

Rudar Kakanj win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tomislav winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Tomislav a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tomislav win	59%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Rudar Kakanj win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Tomislav or draw	80%	–	–
Tomislav clean sheet	38%	–	–
Rudar Kakanj clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.5%

0123450 5.4 6.3 2.8 1 11.5 9.7 5.0 2 10.1 9.5 4.6 3 6.4 6.0 2.9 4 3.1 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tomislav down, Rudar Kakanj across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,177 1st League - FBiH matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.4% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tomislav at home: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Rudar Kakanj away: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Tomislav, 0.97 for Rudar Kakanj. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~TOM 0–1 RUD · RUD 1–2 TOM · TOM 3–0 RUD · RUD 2–1 TOM

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH

TOMISLAV

LLWDDL2–4 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 2–4

RUDAR KAKANJ

LLLWDW0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	8	+11	22
2	Posušje	8	+6	18
3	Stupčanica Olovo	8	+12	16
4	GOŠK Gabela	8	+6	16
5	Igman Konjic	8	+4	15
6	Sloboda Tuzla	8	+7	14
7	TOŠK Tešanj	8	0	12
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	8	+4	9
9	Zvijezda Gradačac	8	0	8
10	Bratstvo Gračanica	8	−2	8
11	Radnik Hadžići	8	−4	7
12	Rudar Kakanj	8	−7	7
13	Čapljina	8	−9	7
14	Vitez	8	−6	6
15	Budućnost Banovići	8	−9	6
16	Tomislav	8	−13	5