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Model 1.1

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Sloboda Tuzla v Travnik

Sloboda Tuzla
2–0Full time
Travnik

1st League - FBiH · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30
Sloboda Tuzla 2–0 Travnik SLOBODA TUZLA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sloboda Tuzla win53%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.332
The market’s Brier score0.311

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sloboda Tuzla win53%
Draw24%
Travnik win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sloboda tuzla winPublished 10 Oct 23:45
53% The market55%
Us53%
Market55%

We make Sloboda Tuzla a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1710 OCT 11:17
Our probability · sloboda tuzla win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sloboda Tuzla win53%55%−2
Draw24%25%−1
Travnik win23%20%+3
Over 2.5 goals44%46%−2
Both teams to score45%48%−3
Over 1.5 goals69%69%0
Over 3.5 goals23%26%−3
Sloboda Tuzla or draw77%80%−3
Sloboda Tuzla clean sheet41%––
Travnik clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.3%
0123450 8.4 8.7 3.6 1 14.3 11.1 5.3 2 10.3 9.0 4.0 3 5.3 4.6 2.1 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sloboda Tuzla down, Travnik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsTRA 0–1 SLO · SLO 2–0 TRA

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH

SLOBODA TUZLA

LWDWWL2–3 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–2

TRAVNIK

WWWWWD4–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Travnik8+1122
2Posušje8+618
3Stupčanica Olovo8+1216
4GOŠK Gabela8+616
5Igman Konjic8+415
6Sloboda Tuzla8+714
7TOŠK Tešanj8012
8Jedinstvo Bihać8+49
9Zvijezda Gradačac808
10Bratstvo Gračanica8−28
11Radnik Hadžići8−47
12Rudar Kakanj8−77
13Čapljina8−97
14Vitez8−66
15Budućnost Banovići8−96
16Tomislav8−135

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 18:27 UTC.