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Model 1.1

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Radnik Hadžići v Stupčanica Olovo

Radnik Hadžići
1–3Full time
Stupčanica Olovo

1st League - FBiH · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30
Radnik Hadžići 1–3 Stupčanica Olovo RADNIK HADŽIĆI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Radnik Hadžići win38%
The market said28%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.618
The market’s Brier score0.458

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Radnik Hadžići win38%
Draw26%
Stupčanica Olovo win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · radnik hadžići winPublished 10 Oct 23:45
38% The market28%
Us38%
Market28%

We make Radnik Hadžići a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 9 OCT 06:1710 OCT 03:54
Our probability · radnik hadžići win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 27% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Radnik Hadžići win38%28%+11
Draw26%28%−2
Stupčanica Olovo win36%45%−9
Over 2.5 goals44%46%−2
Both teams to score49%51%−2
Over 1.5 goals69%70%0
Over 3.5 goals24%26%−3
Radnik Hadžići or draw64%55%+9
Radnik Hadžići clean sheet30%––
Stupčanica Olovo clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 8.0 11.2 6.3 2.6 1 11.5 11.9 7.6 3.1 2 6.7 7.9 4.7 3 2.8 3.3 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Radnik Hadžići down, Stupčanica Olovo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored3 of 8
Last meetingsRAD 1–0 STU · STU 4–0 RAD · RAD 3–1 STU · STU 1–1 RAD

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH

RADNIK HADŽIĆI

LLLLLW0–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–0

STUPČANICA OLOVO

WWLWLD2–0 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Travnik8+1122
2Posušje8+618
3Stupčanica Olovo8+1216
4GOŠK Gabela8+616
5Igman Konjic8+415
6Sloboda Tuzla8+714
7TOŠK Tešanj8012
8Jedinstvo Bihać8+49
9Zvijezda Gradačac808
10Bratstvo Gračanica8−28
11Radnik Hadžići8−47
12Rudar Kakanj8−77
13Čapljina8−97
14Vitez8−66
15Budućnost Banovići8−96
16Tomislav8−135

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 18:27 UTC.