Jedinstvo Bihać v Sloboda Tuzla prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Jedinstvo Bihać 0–0 Sloboda Tuzla JEDINSTVO BIHAĆ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jedinstvo Bihać win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.845

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Jedinstvo Bihać just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Jedinstvo Bihać 39%, draw 25%, Sloboda Tuzla 36%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Jedinstvo Bihać v Sloboda TuzlaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Jedinstvo Bihać win39%

Draw25%

Sloboda Tuzla win36%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jedinstvo Bihać

Sloboda Tuzla

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Sloboda Tuzla	9	+9	17
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	9	+5	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jedinstvo bihać winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:00 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Jedinstvo Bihać a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jedinstvo Bihać v Sloboda Tuzla~~1.30 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 17~~8 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Jedinstvo Bihać win

Published at 38%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jedinstvo Bihać win	39%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Sloboda Tuzla win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Jedinstvo Bihać or draw	64%	–	–
Jedinstvo Bihać clean sheet	30%	–	–
Sloboda Tuzla clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 7.4 10.7 6.1 2.5 1 11.3 11.6 7.6 3.2 2 6.7 8.0 4.9 2.0 3 3.0 3.5 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jedinstvo Bihać down, Sloboda Tuzla across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,185 1st League - FBiH matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.2% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jedinstvo Bihać at home: 2.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sloboda Tuzla away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Jedinstvo Bihać, 1.23 for Sloboda Tuzla. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–1 JED · JED 2–1 SLO · JED 1–2 SLO · SLO 4–0 JED

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept

JEDINSTVO BIHAĆ

WDLLLW4–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1

SLOBODA TUZLA

WDWWLW4–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	9	+9	22
2	Posušje	9	+7	21
3	Stupčanica Olovo	9	+14	19
4	Sloboda Tuzla	9	+9	17
5	GOŠK Gabela	9	+5	16
6	Igman Konjic	9	+4	16
7	TOŠK Tešanj	9	0	13
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	9	+5	12
9	Bratstvo Gračanica	9	−1	11
10	Budućnost Banovići	9	−8	9
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	9	−1	8
12	Tomislav	9	−12	8
13	Radnik Hadžići	9	−6	7
14	Rudar Kakanj	9	−8	7
15	Čapljina	9	−10	7
16	Vitez	9	−7	6