Igman Konjic v Zvijezda Gradačac prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Igman Konjic 1–0 Zvijezda Gradačac IGMAN KONJIC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Igman Konjic win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.419

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Igman Konjic are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Igman Konjic 47%, draw 25%, Zvijezda Gradačac 28%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Igman Konjic v Zvijezda GradačacBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Igman Konjic win47%

Draw25%

Zvijezda Gradačac win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Igman Konjic

Zvijezda Gradačac

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Igman Konjic	9	+4	16
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	9	−1	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · igman konjic winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Igman Konjic a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Igman Konjic v Zvijezda Gradačac~~1.45 – 1.04

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 16 v 8~~6 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Igman Konjic win	47%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Zvijezda Gradačac win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Igman Konjic or draw	72%	–	–
Igman Konjic clean sheet	36%	–	–
Zvijezda Gradačac clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%

0123450 7.8 9.6 4.5 1 13.0 11.4 6.3 2.2 2 8.7 8.7 4.5 3 4.2 4.3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Igman Konjic down, Zvijezda Gradačac across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,185 1st League - FBiH matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.2% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Igman Konjic at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Zvijezda Gradačac away: 0.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Igman Konjic, 1.04 for Zvijezda Gradačac. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ZVI 1–1 IGM · IGM 3–1 ZVI · ZVI 0–1 IGM · IGM 0–0 ZVI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept

IGMAN KONJIC

WWWDWD4–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

ZVIJEZDA GRADAČAC

LDLWDL0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	9	+9	22
2	Posušje	9	+7	21
3	Stupčanica Olovo	9	+14	19
4	Sloboda Tuzla	9	+9	17
5	GOŠK Gabela	9	+5	16
6	Igman Konjic	9	+4	16
7	TOŠK Tešanj	9	0	13
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	9	+5	12
9	Bratstvo Gračanica	9	−1	11
10	Budućnost Banovići	9	−8	9
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	9	−1	8
12	Tomislav	9	−12	8
13	Radnik Hadžići	9	−6	7
14	Rudar Kakanj	9	−8	7
15	Čapljina	9	−10	7
16	Vitez	9	−7	6