GOŠK Gabela v Bratstvo Gračanica prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GOŠK GabelaDrawBratstvo Gračanica

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · GOŠK Gabela 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

GOŠK Gabela are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: GOŠK Gabela 62%, draw 21%, Bratstvo Gračanica 16%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on GOŠK Gabela v Bratstvo GračanicaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

GOŠK Gabela win62%

Draw21%

Bratstvo Gračanica win16%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

GOŠK Gabela

Bratstvo Gračanica

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	+5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gošk gabela winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

62% The market55%

Us62%

~~Market~~55%

We make GOŠK Gabela a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · GOŠK Gabela v Bratstvo Gračanica~~1.80 – 0.76

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 14~~6 v 7

~~The market · GOŠK Gabela win~~55% · ours 62%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · GOŠK Gabela win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
GOŠK Gabela win	62%	55%	+7
Draw	21%	26%	−5
Bratstvo Gračanica win	16%	19%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	47%	47%	0
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
GOŠK Gabela or draw	84%	81%	+3
GOŠK Gabela clean sheet	47%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%

0123450 7.5 6.6 2.3 1 14.6 9.9 4.0 2 12.3 9.2 3.5 3 7.4 5.5 2.1 4 3.4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+GOŠK Gabela down, Bratstvo Gračanica across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,193 1st League - FBiH matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

GOŠK Gabela at home: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bratstvo Gračanica away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for GOŠK Gabela, 0.76 for Bratstvo Gračanica. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BRA 2–1 GOS · GOS 1–0 BRA · GOS 1–0 BRA · BRA 1–2 GOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept

GOŠK GABELA

WLLDLD1–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1

BRATSTVO GRAČANICA

DDDLWW2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Posušje	10	+8	24
2	Travnik	10	+8	22
3	Stupčanica Olovo	10	+14	20
4	Igman Konjic	10	+5	19
5	Sloboda Tuzla	10	+9	18
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	+5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	10	+5	13
10	Budućnost Banovići	10	−8	10
11	Vitez	10	−6	9
12	Zvijezda Gradačac	10	−2	8
13	Rudar Kakanj	10	−8	8
14	Čapljina	10	−10	8
15	Tomislav	10	−13	8
16	Radnik Hadžići	10	−7	7