Čapljina v TOŠK Tešanj prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Čapljina 1–1 TOŠK Tešanj ČAPLJINA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Čapljina win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.870

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Čapljina are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Čapljina 42%, draw 24%, TOŠK Tešanj 34%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Čapljina v TOŠK TešanjBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Čapljina win42%

Draw24%

TOŠK Tešanj win34%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Čapljina

TOŠK Tešanj

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 11 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	TOŠK Tešanj	9	0	13
15	Čapljina	9	−10	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · čapljina winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Čapljina a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Čapljina v TOŠK Tešanj~~1.43 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 13~~15 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Čapljina win	42%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
TOŠK Tešanj win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Čapljina or draw	66%	–	–
Čapljina clean sheet	29%	–	–
TOŠK Tešanj clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.2 9.5 5.5 2.3 1 10.5 11.2 7.6 3.3 2 6.9 8.5 5.3 2.3 3 3.3 4.1 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Čapljina down, TOŠK Tešanj across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,185 1st League - FBiH matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.2% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Čapljina at home: 1.80 scored, 1.60 conceded a game (last 5). TOŠK Tešanj away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Čapljina, 1.27 for TOŠK Tešanj. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept

ČAPLJINA

LLLLWL0–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–1

TOŠK TEŠANJ

LLWWWD2–4 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	9	+9	22
2	Posušje	9	+7	21
3	Stupčanica Olovo	9	+14	19
4	Sloboda Tuzla	9	+9	17
5	GOŠK Gabela	9	+5	16
6	Igman Konjic	9	+4	16
7	TOŠK Tešanj	9	0	13
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	9	+5	12
9	Bratstvo Gračanica	9	−1	11
10	Budućnost Banovići	9	−8	9
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	9	−1	8
12	Tomislav	9	−12	8
13	Radnik Hadžići	9	−6	7
14	Rudar Kakanj	9	−8	7
15	Čapljina	9	−10	7
16	Vitez	9	−7	6