Čapljina v Radnik Hadžići prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ČapljinaDrawRadnik Hadžići

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Čapljina 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Čapljina are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Čapljina 43%, draw 24%, Radnik Hadžići 33%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Čapljina v Radnik HadžićiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Čapljina win43%

Draw24%

Radnik Hadžići win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Čapljina

Radnik Hadžići

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	−6	10
15	Čapljina	11	−13	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · čapljina winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Čapljina a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Čapljina v Radnik Hadžići~~1.42 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 10~~15 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Čapljina win	43%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Radnik Hadžići win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Čapljina or draw	67%	–	–
Čapljina clean sheet	30%	–	–
Radnik Hadžići clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 6.7 9.5 5.3 2.2 1 11.0 11.4 7.3 3.0 2 7.2 8.6 5.2 2.1 3 3.5 4.1 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Čapljina down, Radnik Hadžići across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,199 1st League - FBiH matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.7% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Čapljina at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Radnik Hadžići away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Čapljina, 1.21 for Radnik Hadžići. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 19 Sept

ČAPLJINA

LLWLDL1–2 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–4

RADNIK HADŽIĆI

LLWLLW0–3 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Posušje	11	+10	27
2	Travnik	11	+12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	+10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	+13	20
5	Igman Konjic	11	+4	19
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	+5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	+1	13
10	Vitez	11	−5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	+1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	−6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	−9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	10	−8	8
15	Čapljina	11	−13	8
16	Tomislav	11	−15	8