Bratstvo Gračanica v Sloboda Tuzla prediction · 1st League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bratstvo GračanicaDrawSloboda Tuzla

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Bratstvo Gračanica 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Bratstvo Gračanica just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Bratstvo Gračanica 37%, draw 27%, Sloboda Tuzla 36%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Bratstvo Gračanica v Sloboda TuzlaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Bratstvo Gračanica win37%

Draw27%

Sloboda Tuzla win36%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bratstvo Gračanica

Sloboda Tuzla

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

Last match: 24 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	+10	21
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bratstvo gračanica winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Bratstvo Gračanica a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bratstvo Gračanica v Sloboda Tuzla~~1.14 – 1.11

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 21~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bratstvo Gračanica win	37%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Sloboda Tuzla win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica or draw	64%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica clean sheet	33%	–	–
Sloboda Tuzla clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.8%

0123450 10.0 12.5 6.5 2.4 1 12.8 12.3 7.2 2.7 2 6.9 7.4 4.1 3 2.7 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bratstvo Gračanica down, Sloboda Tuzla across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,199 1st League - FBiH matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.7% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bratstvo Gračanica at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sloboda Tuzla away: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Bratstvo Gračanica, 1.11 for Sloboda Tuzla. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SLO 1–0 BRA · BRA 1–1 SLO · SLO 2–0 BRA · BRA 2–1 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 12 Sept

BRATSTVO GRAČANICA

DDDLWW2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–1

SLOBODA TUZLA

WWLWDW3–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Posušje	11	+10	27
2	Travnik	11	+12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	+10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	+13	20
5	Igman Konjic	11	+4	19
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	+5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	+1	13
10	Vitez	11	−5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	+1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	−6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	−9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	10	−8	8
15	Čapljina	11	−13	8
16	Tomislav	11	−15	8