Bratstvo Gračanica v Radnik Hadžići prediction · 1st League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Bratstvo Gračanica 2–1 Radnik Hadžići BRATSTVO GRAČANICA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bratstvo Gračanica win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.370

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bratstvo Gračanica are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bratstvo Gračanica 50%, draw 25%, Radnik Hadžići 25%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Bratstvo Gračanica v Radnik HadžićiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bratstvo Gračanica win50%

Draw25%

Radnik Hadžići win25%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundFBiH · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bratstvo Gračanica

Radnik Hadžići

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1st League - FBiH

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Bratstvo Gračanica	9	−1	11
13	Radnik Hadžići	9	−6	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bratstvo gračanica winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Bratstvo Gračanica a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bratstvo Gračanica v Radnik Hadžići~~1.45 – 0.91

~~Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 11 v 7~~9 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bratstvo Gračanica win	50%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Radnik Hadžići win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica or draw	75%	–	–
Bratstvo Gračanica clean sheet	41%	–	–
Radnik Hadžići clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.5%

0123450 8.9 9.5 4.0 1 14.5 11.4 5.6 2 9.8 8.8 4.0 3 4.8 4.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bratstvo Gračanica down, Radnik Hadžići across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,185 1st League - FBiH matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1st League - FBiH matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.2% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.70 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bratstvo Gračanica at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Radnik Hadžići away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Bratstvo Gračanica, 0.91 for Radnik Hadžići. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BRA 1–3 RAD · RAD 0–0 BRA · BRA 2–1 RAD · RAD 0–1 BRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1st League - FBiH this season · since 5 Sept

BRATSTVO GRAČANICA

WDDDLW1–0 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0

RADNIK HADŽIĆI

LLLLWL1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Travnik	9	+9	22
2	Posušje	9	+7	21
3	Stupčanica Olovo	9	+14	19
4	Sloboda Tuzla	9	+9	17
5	GOŠK Gabela	9	+5	16
6	Igman Konjic	9	+4	16
7	TOŠK Tešanj	9	0	13
8	Jedinstvo Bihać	9	+5	12
9	Bratstvo Gračanica	9	−1	11
10	Budućnost Banovići	9	−8	9
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	9	−1	8
12	Tomislav	9	−12	8
13	Radnik Hadžići	9	−6	7
14	Rudar Kakanj	9	−8	7
15	Čapljina	9	−10	7
16	Vitez	9	−7	6