Home › Football › Copa de la División Profesional › Oriente Petrolero v Nacional Potosí
Back

Oriente Petrolero v Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional PotosíCopa de la División Profesional · THU 22 OCT · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Oriente Petrolero win at 51%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Oriente Petrolero v Nacional Potosí
- 6′Little has changed for our model: Oriente Petrolero 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
- 23′We said Oriente Petrolero at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Nacional Potosí
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Oriente Petrolero win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
- 24′Oriente Petrolero ahead on 24′ through J. Herrera. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–9
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 36′SUBSTITUTION · 37' Oriente Petrolero · On: O. Siles · Off: J. Herrera
- 37′We said Oriente Petrolero at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–2
- 37′J. Escobar scores for Oriente Petrolero on 38′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–2
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Nacional Potosí
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Oriente Petrolero win: 51% at kick-off, 93% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Nacional Potosí
- 45′SECOND HALF Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Nacional Potosí
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nacional Potosí · On: P. Azogue · Off: E. Cano
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nacional Potosí · On: T. Tobar · Off: D. Villalba
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nacional Potosí · On: J. Arce Pari · Off: K. Medina
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Nacional Potosí · On: K. Quiroz · Off: M. Solis Corrected
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' C. Abastoflor · Nacional Potosí
- 50′We said Oriente Petrolero at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' J. Lovera · Oriente Petrolero
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' O. Siles · Oriente Petrolero
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 53' L. Demiquel · Nacional Potosí
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Oriente Petrolero 3–0 Nacional Potosí
- 56′PENALTY MISSED · 56' J. Flores · Oriente Petrolero
- 57′56′: J. Flores on the scoresheet for Oriente Petrolero, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' J. Flores · Oriente Petrolero
- 61′We said Oriente Petrolero at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 69′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Oriente Petrolero 3–1 Nacional Potosí
- 71′Nacional Potosí pull one back on 70′ through D. Hoyos. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 72′We said Oriente Petrolero at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 3–2 · 84–14–2
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Oriente Petrolero 3–2 Nacional Potosí
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Oriente Petrolero win: 51% at kick-off, 84% now
- 73′We said Oriente Petrolero at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
- 75′D. Hoyos scores for Nacional Potosí on 73′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 86–13–1
- 76′5 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 87–12–1
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Oriente Petrolero · On: D. Rodriguez · Off: J. Flores
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Oriente Petrolero · On: C. Saucedo · Off: N. Nacif
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Oriente Petrolero win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Nacional Potosí · On: M. Tomianovic · Off: L. Demiquel
- 88′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Nacional Potosí
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' C. Abastoflor · Nacional Potosí
- 90′Nacional Potosí are down to ten from 89′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–2 · 96–4–0
- FTFULL TIME Oriente Petrolero 3–2 Nacional Potosí
- FTOriente Petrolero 3–2 Nacional Potosí · Oriente Petrolero win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Oriente Petrolero are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Oriente Petrolero 51%, draw 24%, Nacional Potosí 25%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Oriente Petrolero win51%
Nacional Potosí win25%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 01:30
RoundQuarter-finals
VenueEstadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Match timeline
All events
Oriente PetroleroMIN
Nacional PotosíEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
Last match: 19 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Oriente Petrolero
Formation not confirmed
13 J. Bernal
23 J. Rojas
3 Mizael Monteiro
44 F. Lopez
42 D. Roca
20 J. Lovera
11 L. Vaca
77 J. Herrera
91 N. Nacif
7 J. Flores
29 J. Escobar
Coach · Gustavo Florentin
Substitutes
51 · A. Alba
28 · J. Velasco
6 · D. Rodriguez
14 · E. Taborga
4 · M. Bonilla
18 · B. Mamani
8 · O. Siles
31 · G. Justiniano
33 · C. Saucedo
19 · F. Perez
21 · M. Aponte
35 · J. Vaca
Nacional Potosí
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Arauz
34 K. Medina
5 S. Alvarez
33 L. Demiquel
16 A. Torrico
20 E. Cano
21 O. Baldomar
22 D. Hoyos
7 M. Solis
99 D. Villalba
27 C. Abastoflor
Coach · Dailer Gutierrez
Substitutes
23 · P. Galindo
2 · R. Avila
25 · J. Orellana
18 · P. Azogue
26 · K. Quiroz
11 · M. Tomianovic
14 · Juan Batista
30 · Y. Martinez
9 · T. Tobar
19 · W. Alvarez
28 · S. Pena
15 · J. Arce Pari
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Oriente Petrolero
Formation not confirmed
13 J. Bernal
23 J. Rojas
3 Mizael Monteiro
44 F. Lopez
42 D. Roca
20 J. Lovera
11 L. Vaca
77 J. Herrera
91 N. Nacif
7 J. Flores
29 J. Escobar
Coach · Gustavo Florentin
Substitutes
51 · A. Alba
28 · J. Velasco
6 · D. Rodriguez
14 · E. Taborga
4 · M. Bonilla
18 · B. Mamani
8 · O. Siles
31 · G. Justiniano
33 · C. Saucedo
19 · F. Perez
21 · M. Aponte
35 · J. Vaca
Nacional Potosí
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Arauz
34 K. Medina
5 S. Alvarez
33 L. Demiquel
16 A. Torrico
20 E. Cano
21 O. Baldomar
22 D. Hoyos
7 M. Solis
99 D. Villalba
27 C. Abastoflor
Coach · Dailer Gutierrez
Substitutes
23 · P. Galindo
2 · R. Avila
25 · J. Orellana
18 · P. Azogue
26 · K. Quiroz
11 · M. Tomianovic
14 · Juan Batista
30 · Y. Martinez
9 · T. Tobar
19 · W. Alvarez
28 · S. Pena
15 · J. Arce Pari
We make Oriente Petrolero a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 50%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero win | 51% | 48% | +3 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | −2 |
| Nacional Potosí win | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 56% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 78% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 35% | +1 |
| Oriente Petrolero or draw | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Oriente Petrolero clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Nacional Potosí clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Copa de la División Profesional this season · since 9 Sept
ORIENTE PETROLERO
NACIONAL POTOSÍ