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Always Ready v The Strongest
Always Ready
The StrongestCopa de la División Profesional · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Always Ready win at 65%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Always Ready 65% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–20–16
- 1′KICK-OFF Always Ready v The Strongest
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
- 36′SUBSTITUTION · 35' Always Ready · On: J. Uzeda · Off: R. Lima
- 41′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 53–30–17
- 41′We said Always Ready at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Always Ready 1–0 The Strongest
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 83% now
- 42′J. Uzeda scores for Always Ready on 42′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–13–4
- 45′SECOND HALF Always Ready 1–0 The Strongest
- 46′The Strongest are down to ten from 45′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 83–13–4
- 46′🟥 RED CARD · 45+1' The Strongest
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' C. D. Medina Rodriguez · Always Ready
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' The Strongest · On: L. Cueto · Off: S. Melgar
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' The Strongest · On: D. Lom · Off: Pachu
- 50′HALF-TIME Always Ready 1–0 The Strongest
- 53′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–37–17
- 53′53′: L. Cueto on the scoresheet for The Strongest, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 47–37–17
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Always Ready 1–1 The Strongest
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 47% now
- 54′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 46–37–16
- 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' W. Saucedo · The Strongest
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 45% now
- 57′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–40–16
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Always Ready win 42%)
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' A. Rambal · Always Ready
- 65′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–47–15
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Always Ready · On: J. Godoy · Off: C. D. Medina Rodriguez
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Always Ready · On: R. Gomez Miranda · Off: A. Quiroga
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Always Ready · On: J. Amoroso · Off: E. Restrepo
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 35% now
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' The Strongest · On: K. Romay · Off: K. F. Salvatierra Flores
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' The Strongest · On: E. Sossa · Off: K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
- 70′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–53–13
- 74′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–12
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 25% now
- 78′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–67–10
- 81′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–8
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
- 84′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–81–6
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Always Ready · On: C. Algaranaz · Off: N. Villarroel
- 88′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' The Strongest · On: J. Arrascaita · Off: V. Cuellar
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Always Ready win: 65% at kick-off, 5% now
- 93′We said Always Ready at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–95–2
- 94′1–1 at the end. Our 65% on Always Ready misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Always Ready 1–1 The Strongest
- FTAlways Ready 1–1 The Strongest · Always Ready win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Always Ready are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Always Ready 65%, draw 19%, The Strongest 16%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Always Ready win65%
The Strongest win16%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 01:00
RoundQuarter-finals
Match timeline
All events
Always ReadyMIN
The StrongestEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Always Ready
The Strongest
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Always Ready
The Strongest
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División (Bolivia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Always Ready
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Baroja
4 N. Villarroel
21 A. Rambal
26 E. Restrepo
14 C. D. Medina Rodriguez
5 A. Quiroga
18 C. Rodriguez
19 D. Torrico
6 R. Lima
10 J. Maraude
9 E. Triverio
Coach · Pablo Godoy
Substitutes
12 · S. Mustafa
36 · K. Estrada
27 · J. Ojeda
2 · J. Herrera
23 · J. Godoy
7 · J. Amoroso
29 · Ramon
11 · J. Uzeda
22 · R. Gomez Miranda
24 · C. Algaranaz
33 · C. M. Collazo Martinez
43 · S. Mamani
The Strongest
Formation not confirmed
12 D. Valdivia
22 W. Saucedo
4 M. Chiatti
5 A. Jusino
3 P. Pedraza
8 K. F. Salvatierra Flores
34 S. Melgar
6 J. Welch
16 V. Cuellar
24 K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
99 Pachu
Coach · Carlos Paz Garcia Juan
Substitutes
33 · K. Mendoza
29 · Y. Portuncho
10 · R. Castro
17 · A. Estacio
30 · J. Arrascaita
7 · K. Romay
14 · D. Lom
9 · C. Ventura
26 · G. Sotomayor
36 · R. Ribera
40 · L. Cueto
41 · E. Sossa
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Always Ready
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Baroja
4 N. Villarroel
21 A. Rambal
26 E. Restrepo
14 C. D. Medina Rodriguez
5 A. Quiroga
18 C. Rodriguez
19 D. Torrico
6 R. Lima
10 J. Maraude
9 E. Triverio
Coach · Pablo Godoy
Substitutes
12 · S. Mustafa
36 · K. Estrada
27 · J. Ojeda
2 · J. Herrera
23 · J. Godoy
7 · J. Amoroso
29 · Ramon
11 · J. Uzeda
22 · R. Gomez Miranda
24 · C. Algaranaz
33 · C. M. Collazo Martinez
43 · S. Mamani
The Strongest
Formation not confirmed
12 D. Valdivia
22 W. Saucedo
4 M. Chiatti
5 A. Jusino
3 P. Pedraza
8 K. F. Salvatierra Flores
34 S. Melgar
6 J. Welch
16 V. Cuellar
24 K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
99 Pachu
Coach · Carlos Paz Garcia Juan
Substitutes
33 · K. Mendoza
29 · Y. Portuncho
10 · R. Castro
17 · A. Estacio
30 · J. Arrascaita
7 · K. Romay
14 · D. Lom
9 · C. Ventura
26 · G. Sotomayor
36 · R. Ribera
40 · L. Cueto
41 · E. Sossa
We make Always Ready a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Always Ready win | 65% | 56% | +9 |
| Draw | 19% | 24% | −5 |
| The Strongest win | 16% | 21% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 61% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 61% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 82% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 42% | +2 |
| Always Ready or draw | 84% | 79% | +5 |
| Always Ready clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| The Strongest clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Copa de la División Profesional this season · since 9 Sept
ALWAYS READY
THE STRONGEST